The 2026 World Cup Group D remains tightly contested among co-hosts USA, Türkiye, Paraguay, and Australia, with trader consensus reflecting an even matchup driven by comparable squad depths and recent qualifying momentum. USA benefits from home support and depth in attack led by Christian Pulisic, yet mixed results under Mauricio Pochettino have tempered expectations. Türkiye’s return after 24 years features creative talent including Arda Güler and Hakan Çalhanoğlu, positioning them as strong contenders in a group without an obvious standout. Paraguay’s solid CONMEBOL campaign and Australia’s resilience add further balance, making any outcome plausible across the three matchdays and keeping implied probabilities clustered near the top.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoTurquia 38%
EUA 38%
Paraguai 18%
Austrália 9.8%
$398,419 Vol.
$398,419 Vol.
Turquia
38%
EUA
38%
Paraguai
18%
Austrália
10%
Turquia 38%
EUA 38%
Paraguai 18%
Austrália 9.8%
$398,419 Vol.
$398,419 Vol.
Turquia
38%
EUA
38%
Paraguai
18%
Austrália
10%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 World Cup Group D remains tightly contested among co-hosts USA, Türkiye, Paraguay, and Australia, with trader consensus reflecting an even matchup driven by comparable squad depths and recent qualifying momentum. USA benefits from home support and depth in attack led by Christian Pulisic, yet mixed results under Mauricio Pochettino have tempered expectations. Türkiye’s return after 24 years features creative talent including Arda Güler and Hakan Çalhanoğlu, positioning them as strong contenders in a group without an obvious standout. Paraguay’s solid CONMEBOL campaign and Australia’s resilience add further balance, making any outcome plausible across the three matchdays and keeping implied probabilities clustered near the top.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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