Spain and France lead the World Cup winner market at 17% and 16.1% implied probability due to their recent European success and squad depth, with Portugal, England, Argentina, and Brazil clustered just behind. Spain built momentum from its Euro 2024 title through dynamic possession play and emerging talents, while France fields one of the deepest rosters across positions. England benefits from a new managerial setup and consistent qualifying form, and Portugal leverages veteran leadership alongside rising contributors. Argentina and Brazil add historical pedigree and attacking quality, but the expanded 48-team format and balanced group-stage matchups sustain competitive uncertainty among the top tier. This tight clustering reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing comparable paths through the knockout stages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoSpagna 17.0%
Francia 16.1%
Portogallo 10.9%
Inghilterra 10.8%
$1,949,626,848 Vol.
$1,949,626,848 Vol.
Spagna
17%
Francia
16%
Portogallo
11%
Inghilterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasile
8%
Germania
5%
Paesi Bassi
4%
Norvegia
2%
Belgio
2%
Colombia
2%
Giappone
2%
Marocco
2%
Messico
1%
Svizzera
1%
Turchia
1%
Stati Uniti
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croazia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa d'Avorio
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Svezia
<1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Scozia
<1%
Egitto
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%
Cechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Giordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Sudafrica
<1%
Capo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
Spagna 17.0%
Francia 16.1%
Portogallo 10.9%
Inghilterra 10.8%
$1,949,626,848 Vol.
$1,949,626,848 Vol.
Spagna
17%
Francia
16%
Portogallo
11%
Inghilterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasile
8%
Germania
5%
Paesi Bassi
4%
Norvegia
2%
Belgio
2%
Colombia
2%
Giappone
2%
Marocco
2%
Messico
1%
Svizzera
1%
Turchia
1%
Stati Uniti
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croazia
1%
Ecuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Costa d'Avorio
<1%
Austria
<1%
Canada
<1%
Svezia
<1%
Corea del Sud
<1%
Scozia
<1%
Egitto
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algeria
<1%
Bosnia-Erzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Repubblica Democratica del Congo
<1%
Cechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Nuova Zelanda
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Giordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Iraq
<1%
Sudafrica
<1%
Capo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabia Saudita
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercato aperto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France lead the World Cup winner market at 17% and 16.1% implied probability due to their recent European success and squad depth, with Portugal, England, Argentina, and Brazil clustered just behind. Spain built momentum from its Euro 2024 title through dynamic possession play and emerging talents, while France fields one of the deepest rosters across positions. England benefits from a new managerial setup and consistent qualifying form, and Portugal leverages veteran leadership alongside rising contributors. Argentina and Brazil add historical pedigree and attacking quality, but the expanded 48-team format and balanced group-stage matchups sustain competitive uncertainty among the top tier. This tight clustering reflects the wisdom of crowds assessing comparable paths through the knockout stages.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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