Spain leads the tightly bunched World Cup winner probabilities at 17% due to its status as defending European champions and recent strong results in friendlies, while France sits just behind at 16% on the strength of its elite squad depth and star power. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil trail closely in the 8-11% range, reflecting comparable recent form, high FIFA rankings, and proven tournament pedigrees among the top contenders. With the expanded field and no dominant side separating itself in pre-tournament preparations, the competitive balance across these nationsβbolstered by solid qualification records and minimal disruption from injuriesβhas kept implied probabilities clustered as traders weigh multiple realistic paths to the July final.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· DiperbaruiWorld Cup Winner
World Cup Winner
SpanyolΒ 17.0%
PrancisΒ 16.1%
InggrisΒ 10.8%
PortugalΒ 10.8%
$1,958,866,297 Vol.
$1,958,866,297 Vol.
Spanyol
17%
Prancis
16%
Inggris
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
4%
Norwegia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Jepang
2%
Maroko
2%
Meksiko
1%
Swiss
1%
Turki
1%
Amerika Serikat
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Austria
<1%
Kanada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
SpanyolΒ 17.0%
PrancisΒ 16.1%
InggrisΒ 10.8%
PortugalΒ 10.8%
$1,958,866,297 Vol.
$1,958,866,297 Vol.
Spanyol
17%
Prancis
16%
Inggris
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
8%
Jerman
5%
Belanda
4%
Norwegia
2%
Belgia
2%
Kolombia
2%
Jepang
2%
Maroko
2%
Meksiko
1%
Swiss
1%
Turki
1%
Amerika Serikat
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatia
1%
Ekuador
1%
Senegal
1%
Pantai Gading
<1%
Austria
<1%
Kanada
<1%
Sweden
<1%
Korea Selatan
<1%
Skotlandia
<1%
Egypt
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Aljazair
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Kongo DR
<1%
Czechia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Selandia Baru
<1%
Haiti
<1%
Yordania
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisia
<1%
Uzbekistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrika Selatan
<1%
Tanjung Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to βNoβ.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to βOtherβ.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Pasar Dibuka: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to βNoβ.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to βOtherβ.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain leads the tightly bunched World Cup winner probabilities at 17% due to its status as defending European champions and recent strong results in friendlies, while France sits just behind at 16% on the strength of its elite squad depth and star power. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil trail closely in the 8-11% range, reflecting comparable recent form, high FIFA rankings, and proven tournament pedigrees among the top contenders. With the expanded field and no dominant side separating itself in pre-tournament preparations, the competitive balance across these nationsβbolstered by solid qualification records and minimal disruption from injuriesβhas kept implied probabilities clustered as traders weigh multiple realistic paths to the July final.
Ringkasan eksperimental yang dihasilkan AI dengan referensi data Polymarket. Ini bukan saran trading dan tidak berperan dalam bagaimana pasar ini diselesaikan. Β· Diperbarui
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