Spain and France lead trader sentiment for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner amid a tight cluster of probabilities, reflecting their status as Euro 2024 champions and runners-up with elite squad depth, youth development, and recent Nations League form. Spain’s technically gifted midfield and emerging talents like Lamine Yamal anchor the top spot, while France’s exceptional roster breadth and stars such as Kylian Mbappé keep them close behind. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil follow tightly due to strong attacking options, defending champion pedigree, and historical World Cup success, with the expanded 48-team format and group-stage draw amplifying upset potential among this competitive field of contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEspagne 17.0%
France 16.1%
Angleterre 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,956,842,620 Vol.
$1,956,842,620 Vol.

Espagne
17%

France
16%

Angleterre
11%

Portugal
11%

Argentine
9%

Brésil
8%

Allemagne
5%

Pays-Bas
4%

Norvège
2%

Belgique
2%

Colombie
2%

Japon
2%

Maroc
2%

Mexique
1%

Suisse
1%

Turquie
1%

États-Unis
1%

Uruguay
1%

Croatie
1%

Équateur
1%

Sénégal
1%

Côte d'Ivoire
<1%

Autriche
<1%

Canada
<1%

Suède
<1%

Corée du Sud
<1%

Écosse
<1%

Égypte
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algérie
<1%

Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

RD Congo
<1%

Tchéquie
<1%

Australie
<1%

Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%

Haïti
<1%

Jordanie
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Tunisie
<1%

Ouzbékistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Afrique du Sud
<1%

Cape Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Arabie saoudite
<1%
Espagne 17.0%
France 16.1%
Angleterre 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,956,842,620 Vol.
$1,956,842,620 Vol.

Espagne
17%

France
16%

Angleterre
11%

Portugal
11%

Argentine
9%

Brésil
8%

Allemagne
5%

Pays-Bas
4%

Norvège
2%

Belgique
2%

Colombie
2%

Japon
2%

Maroc
2%

Mexique
1%

Suisse
1%

Turquie
1%

États-Unis
1%

Uruguay
1%

Croatie
1%

Équateur
1%

Sénégal
1%

Côte d'Ivoire
<1%

Autriche
<1%

Canada
<1%

Suède
<1%

Corée du Sud
<1%

Écosse
<1%

Égypte
<1%

Iran
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Algérie
<1%

Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

RD Congo
<1%

Tchéquie
<1%

Australie
<1%

Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%

Haïti
<1%

Jordanie
<1%

Curaçao
<1%

Tunisie
<1%

Ouzbékistan
<1%

Panama
<1%

Irak
<1%

Afrique du Sud
<1%

Cape Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Arabie saoudite
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain and France lead trader sentiment for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner amid a tight cluster of probabilities, reflecting their status as Euro 2024 champions and runners-up with elite squad depth, youth development, and recent Nations League form. Spain’s technically gifted midfield and emerging talents like Lamine Yamal anchor the top spot, while France’s exceptional roster breadth and stars such as Kylian Mbappé keep them close behind. England, Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil follow tightly due to strong attacking options, defending champion pedigree, and historical World Cup success, with the expanded 48-team format and group-stage draw amplifying upset potential among this competitive field of contenders.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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