Spain, France, and England sit atop the World Cup winner market with closely bunched implied probabilities reflecting their status as the clearest title contenders. Spain enters as slight favorites after claiming Euro 2024 with dynamic attacking play and strong collective depth, while France counters with unmatched squad talent including Kylian Mbappé and extensive bench options honed through recent warm-up fixtures. England benefits from Thomas Tuchel’s integration and consistent qualifying results, though historical tournament exits temper expectations. Broader contenders such as Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil remain within striking distance due to star power and recent form, but the expanded 48-team format and group-stage uncertainties keep the field competitive as squads finalize preparations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEspagne 17.0%
France 16.1%
Angleterre 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,948,418,543 Vol.
$1,948,418,543 Vol.
Espagne
17%
France
16%
Angleterre
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentine
9%
Brésil
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
4%
Norvège
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
Japon
2%
Maroc
2%
Mexique
1%
Suisse
1%
Turquie
1%
États-Unis
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Autriche
<1%
Canada
<1%
Suède
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
Espagne 17.0%
France 16.1%
Angleterre 10.8%
Portugal 10.8%
$1,948,418,543 Vol.
$1,948,418,543 Vol.
Espagne
17%
France
16%
Angleterre
11%
Portugal
11%
Argentine
9%
Brésil
8%
Allemagne
5%
Pays-Bas
4%
Norvège
2%
Belgique
2%
Colombie
2%
Japon
2%
Maroc
2%
Mexique
1%
Suisse
1%
Turquie
1%
États-Unis
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croatie
1%
Équateur
1%
Sénégal
1%
Côte d'Ivoire
<1%
Autriche
<1%
Canada
<1%
Suède
<1%
Corée du Sud
<1%
Écosse
<1%
Égypte
<1%
Iran
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Algérie
<1%
Bosnie-Herzégovine
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
RD Congo
<1%
Tchéquie
<1%
Australie
<1%
Nouvelle-Zélande
<1%
Haïti
<1%
Jordanie
<1%
Curaçao
<1%
Tunisie
<1%
Ouzbékistan
<1%
Panama
<1%
Irak
<1%
Afrique du Sud
<1%
Cape Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Arabie saoudite
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain, France, and England sit atop the World Cup winner market with closely bunched implied probabilities reflecting their status as the clearest title contenders. Spain enters as slight favorites after claiming Euro 2024 with dynamic attacking play and strong collective depth, while France counters with unmatched squad talent including Kylian Mbappé and extensive bench options honed through recent warm-up fixtures. England benefits from Thomas Tuchel’s integration and consistent qualifying results, though historical tournament exits temper expectations. Broader contenders such as Portugal, Argentina, and Brazil remain within striking distance due to star power and recent form, but the expanded 48-team format and group-stage uncertainties keep the field competitive as squads finalize preparations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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