Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary for Wyoming’s open Senate seat with roughly 65 percent of the vote, succeeding retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis. The state’s consistent Republican dominance, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles and no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward Hageman. Her strong fundraising, Trump endorsement, and prior statewide primary success contrast with Democrat James Byrd’s more limited resources and profile as a former state representative. Traders assign Byrd only marginal chances absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or significant national political realignment before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWyoming Senate Election Winner
Wyoming Senate Election Winner
$16,862 Vol.
$16,862 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
97%
James W. Byrd (D)
3%
$16,862 Vol.
$16,862 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Harriet Hageman (R)
$11,207 Vol.
97%
James W. Byrd (D)
$5,655 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary for Wyoming’s open Senate seat with roughly 65 percent of the vote, succeeding retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis. The state’s consistent Republican dominance, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles and no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward Hageman. Her strong fundraising, Trump endorsement, and prior statewide primary success contrast with Democrat James Byrd’s more limited resources and profile as a former state representative. Traders assign Byrd only marginal chances absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or significant national political realignment before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$16,862End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary for Wyoming’s open Senate seat with roughly 65 percent of the vote, succeeding retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis. The state’s consistent Republican dominance, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles and no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward Hageman. Her strong fundraising, Trump endorsement, and prior statewide primary success contrast with Democrat James Byrd’s more limited resources and profile as a former state representative. Traders assign Byrd only marginal chances absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or significant national political realignment before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Wyoming U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$16,862End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Harriet Hageman secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary for Wyoming’s open Senate seat with roughly 65 percent of the vote, succeeding retiring incumbent Cynthia Lummis. The state’s consistent Republican dominance, including large margins for Donald Trump in recent cycles and no Democratic Senate victory since 1970, underpins the market’s heavy weighting toward Hageman. Her strong fundraising, Trump endorsement, and prior statewide primary success contrast with Democrat James Byrd’s more limited resources and profile as a former state representative. Traders assign Byrd only marginal chances absent major unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or significant national political realignment before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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