The women's skateboard vert field at X Games New Orleans 2026 features a deep roster of specialists with comparable recent form, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered near even money across Mizuho Hasegawa, Bryce Wettstein, Lilly Stoephasius, Arisa Trew, and others. Recent X Games stops in Sacramento and Chiba produced multiple podium swaps among these athletes—Mia Kretzer claimed vert gold while Trew and Hasegawa traded best-trick medals—highlighting consistent high-amplitude runs and technical difficulty without a single dominant performer. Official injury reports and roster confirmations show no major absences or load-management issues, and the vert ramp judging criteria reward variety, amplitude, and style equally, leaving room for any contender to post a winning run on the day. Trader consensus reflects this parity and the event's single-elimination style.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRaicca Ventura 50%
Mia Kretzer 50%
Mizuho Hasegawa 49%
Reese Nelson 49%
NEW
NEW
Jul 24, 2026
Raicca Ventura
50%
Mia Kretzer
50%
Mizuho Hasegawa
49%
Reese Nelson
49%
Juno Matsuoka
49%
Asahi Kaihara
48%
Arisa Trew
48%
Lilly Stoephasius
48%
Other
48%
Bryce Wettstein
39%
Raicca Ventura 50%
Mia Kretzer 50%
Mizuho Hasegawa 49%
Reese Nelson 49%
NEW
NEW
Jul 24, 2026
Raicca Ventura
$0 Vol.
50%
Mia Kretzer
$0 Vol.
50%
Mizuho Hasegawa
$0 Vol.
49%
Reese Nelson
$0 Vol.
49%
Juno Matsuoka
$0 Vol.
49%
Asahi Kaihara
$0 Vol.
48%
Arisa Trew
$0 Vol.
48%
Lilly Stoephasius
$0 Vol.
48%
Other
$0 Vol.
48%
Bryce Wettstein
$0 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert - Women's event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert - Women's event per the rules of the X Games (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed last name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group.
If this event is postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the X Games.The women's skateboard vert field at X Games New Orleans 2026 features a deep roster of specialists with comparable recent form, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered near even money across Mizuho Hasegawa, Bryce Wettstein, Lilly Stoephasius, Arisa Trew, and others. Recent X Games stops in Sacramento and Chiba produced multiple podium swaps among these athletes—Mia Kretzer claimed vert gold while Trew and Hasegawa traded best-trick medals—highlighting consistent high-amplitude runs and technical difficulty without a single dominant performer. Official injury reports and roster confirmations show no major absences or load-management issues, and the vert ramp judging criteria reward variety, amplitude, and style equally, leaving room for any contender to post a winning run on the day. Trader consensus reflects this parity and the event's single-elimination style.
This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert - Women's event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert - Women's event per the rules of the X Games (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed last name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group.
If this event is postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the X Games.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert - Women's event per the rules of the X Games (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed last name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group.
If this event is postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the X Games.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 10:13 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 24, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 10:13 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.xgames.com/events/new-orleans-2026/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert - Women's event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert - Women's event per the rules of the X Games (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed last name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group.
If this event is postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the X Games.The women's skateboard vert field at X Games New Orleans 2026 features a deep roster of specialists with comparable recent form, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered near even money across Mizuho Hasegawa, Bryce Wettstein, Lilly Stoephasius, Arisa Trew, and others. Recent X Games stops in Sacramento and Chiba produced multiple podium swaps among these athletes—Mia Kretzer claimed vert gold while Trew and Hasegawa traded best-trick medals—highlighting consistent high-amplitude runs and technical difficulty without a single dominant performer. Official injury reports and roster confirmations show no major absences or load-management issues, and the vert ramp judging criteria reward variety, amplitude, and style equally, leaving room for any contender to post a winning run on the day. Trader consensus reflects this parity and the event's single-elimination style.
This market will resolve according to the participant (country team or individual participant as applicable to the event) that is awarded the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert - Women's event at the time of the corresponding medal/podium ceremony. Subsequent disqualifications or amendments will not be considered.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert - Women's event per the rules of the X Games (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed last name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group.
If this event is postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the X Games.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed participant to win the gold medal at the 2026 X Games New Orleans for the Skateboard Vert - Women's event per the rules of the X Games (e.g., participant is eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If multiple participants are awarded the gold medal, this market will resolve in favor of the participant whose listed last name comes first alphabetically, as listed in this market group.
If this event is postponed after August 9, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a gold medal has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source will be official information from the X Games.
Volume
$0End Date
Jul 24, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 10:13 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.xgames.com/events/new-orleans-2026/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The women's skateboard vert field at X Games New Orleans 2026 features a deep roster of specialists with comparable recent form, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered near even money across Mizuho Hasegawa, Bryce Wettstein, Lilly Stoephasius, Arisa Trew, and others. Recent X Games stops in Sacramento and Chiba produced multiple podium swaps among these athletes—Mia Kretzer claimed vert gold while Trew and Hasegawa traded best-trick medals—highlighting consistent high-amplitude runs and technical difficulty without a single dominant performer. Official injury reports and roster confirmations show no major absences or load-management issues, and the vert ramp judging criteria reward variety, amplitude, and style equally, leaving room for any contender to post a winning run on the day. Trader consensus reflects this parity and the event's single-elimination style.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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