Lin Kuo-chang leads the Yilan County magistrate race as the Democratic Progressive Party nominee, with traders assigning him a 65% implied probability amid consistent polling edges over rivals ahead of the November 28 vote. The Kuomintang nominated Legislator Wu Tsung-hsien in February after an internal survey edged out County Council Speaker Chang Sheng-te, and a May joint KMT-TPP poll positioned Wu as the stronger opposition contender against Lin, though Chen Wan-hui remains the Taiwan People's Party standard-bearer at lower odds. Five candidates ultimately registered following September qualification reviews that disqualified several others on legal grounds, while opposition criticism of Lin's state-owned enterprise board roles highlighted campaign scrutiny without shifting the consensus. Upcoming events include candidate number draws and final voter mobilization in the two months before election day.