Recent video performance data has anchored trader skepticism around MrBeast hitting 100 million first-week views before June 30. His May 2026 wilderness survival upload opened at 35 million views in 24 hours yet projects to finish the week between 70-85 million based on typical decay curves, mirroring several prior challenge formats that plateaued below the threshold. Ongoing industry discussion of softer daily averages and evergreen tail performance has further cooled expectations, leaving the “No” outcome at an 81.5% implied probability. Any upcoming release featuring a high-retention gimmick or accelerated promotional push before the deadline remains the clearest potential swing factor.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour100m views on a MrBeast video in the first week by June 30?
If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Apr 28, 2026, 6:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to MrBeast's videos. Shorts, previews, or other videos released outside of this market's timeframe will not be considered.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent video performance data has anchored trader skepticism around MrBeast hitting 100 million first-week views before June 30. His May 2026 wilderness survival upload opened at 35 million views in 24 hours yet projects to finish the week between 70-85 million based on typical decay curves, mirroring several prior challenge formats that plateaued below the threshold. Ongoing industry discussion of softer daily averages and evergreen tail performance has further cooled expectations, leaving the “No” outcome at an 81.5% implied probability. Any upcoming release featuring a high-retention gimmick or accelerated promotional push before the deadline remains the clearest potential swing factor.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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