Trader sentiment on the Bank of Israel’s May 2026 decision heavily favors a 25-basis-point cut, with the 78.5% implied probability reflecting the central bank’s established easing bias and its own 2026 inflation forecast of 1.7%, well below the current 4.00% policy rate. The January reduction from 4.25% and subsequent March pause—driven by a temporary energy-price spike—positioned the committee to resume gradual easing amid moderating price pressures and stabilized one-year inflation expectations near 1.5–2.0%. April CPI data, due before the May 25 meeting, remains the key near-term catalyst, while resilient GDP growth projections around 5.2% for 2026 reduce urgency for aggressive stimulus but support a measured return to the 3.5% path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDécision de la Banque d'Israël en mai ?
Baisse 79%
Aucun changement 20%
Augmentation <1%
$41,293 Vol.
$41,293 Vol.
Baisse
79%
Aucun changement
20%
Augmentation
1%
Baisse 79%
Aucun changement 20%
Augmentation <1%
$41,293 Vol.
$41,293 Vol.
Baisse
79%
Aucun changement
20%
Augmentation
1%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Feb 25, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Israel after its May 25, 2026 monetary policy decision, as listed on the official Bank of Israel interest rate decision schedule: https://www.boi.org.il/en/economic-roles/monetary-policy/interest-rate-announcement-dates-2025-2026/#
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Israel's announcement of their May 25, 2026 decision with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the Bank of Israel Interest Rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment on the Bank of Israel’s May 2026 decision heavily favors a 25-basis-point cut, with the 78.5% implied probability reflecting the central bank’s established easing bias and its own 2026 inflation forecast of 1.7%, well below the current 4.00% policy rate. The January reduction from 4.25% and subsequent March pause—driven by a temporary energy-price spike—positioned the committee to resume gradual easing amid moderating price pressures and stabilized one-year inflation expectations near 1.5–2.0%. April CPI data, due before the May 25 meeting, remains the key near-term catalyst, while resilient GDP growth projections around 5.2% for 2026 reduce urgency for aggressive stimulus but support a measured return to the 3.5% path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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