Trader consensus on the Bank of Korea holding its 2.50% base rate unchanged in July at 70% implied probability stems from the central bank's data-dependent stance amid mixed signals on inflation and growth. Recent remarks from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai highlighted that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0% while inflation is likely to exceed prior 2.2% forecasts, prompting more hawkish forward guidance at the May 28 meeting. Geopolitical risks from Middle East conflicts continue to weigh on the outlook, supporting the unanimous April hold and limiting the odds of an immediate hike to 21%. A cut remains remote at 1.5% given price pressures above the 2% target. The July decision will hinge on incoming CPI and export data following the May policy meeting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBank of Korea decision in July?
Aucun changement 73%
Augmentation 23%
Diminution 1.3%
$13,142 Vol.
$13,142 Vol.
Diminution
1%
Aucun changement
75%
Augmentation
21%
Aucun changement 73%
Augmentation 23%
Diminution 1.3%
$13,142 Vol.
$13,142 Vol.
Diminution
1%
Aucun changement
75%
Augmentation
21%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the Bank of Korea holding its 2.50% base rate unchanged in July at 70% implied probability stems from the central bank's data-dependent stance amid mixed signals on inflation and growth. Recent remarks from Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dai highlighted that growth is unlikely to fall much below 2.0% while inflation is likely to exceed prior 2.2% forecasts, prompting more hawkish forward guidance at the May 28 meeting. Geopolitical risks from Middle East conflicts continue to weigh on the outlook, supporting the unanimous April hold and limiting the odds of an immediate hike to 21%. A cut remains remote at 1.5% given price pressures above the 2% target. The July decision will hinge on incoming CPI and export data following the May policy meeting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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