Polymarket traders assign a 97.2% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 28 meeting, reflecting strong consensus around the Monetary Policy Board's cautious, data-dependent stance after seven consecutive holds at 2.50% through April. This positioning persists despite April CPI accelerating to 2.6% year-over-year—its steepest pace in 21 months—fueled by Middle East-driven energy costs, and Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dae's May 3 remarks signaling time to consider hikes amid resilient growth and won depreciation to 17-year lows near 1,480 per dollar. Korean 10-year Treasury yields topped 4% on May 12 as hike bets flickered, but trader capital favors stability given balanced inflation risks. Realistic challenges include hotter May CPI or sharper currency weakness prompting an unexpected 25-basis-point increase, though such shifts remain low-odds scenarios ahead of the decision.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDécision de la Banque de Corée en mai ?
Décision de la Banque de Corée en mai ?
Aucun changement 97.2%
Augmentation 1.4%
Baisse <1%
$96,940 Vol.
$96,940 Vol.
28 mai 2026
Baisse
<1%
Aucun changement
97%
Augmentation
1%
Aucun changement 97.2%
Augmentation 1.4%
Baisse <1%
$96,940 Vol.
$96,940 Vol.
28 mai 2026
Baisse
$44,599 Vol.
<1%
Aucun changement
$34,609 Vol.
97%
Augmentation
$17,733 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 97.2% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 28 meeting, reflecting strong consensus around the Monetary Policy Board's cautious, data-dependent stance after seven consecutive holds at 2.50% through April. This positioning persists despite April CPI accelerating to 2.6% year-over-year—its steepest pace in 21 months—fueled by Middle East-driven energy costs, and Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dae's May 3 remarks signaling time to consider hikes amid resilient growth and won depreciation to 17-year lows near 1,480 per dollar. Korean 10-year Treasury yields topped 4% on May 12 as hike bets flickered, but trader capital favors stability given balanced inflation risks. Realistic challenges include hotter May CPI or sharper currency weakness prompting an unexpected 25-basis-point increase, though such shifts remain low-odds scenarios ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ET
Volume
$96,940Date de fin
28 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Polymarket traders assign a 97.2% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 28 meeting, reflecting strong consensus around the Monetary Policy Board's cautious, data-dependent stance after seven consecutive holds at 2.50% through April. This positioning persists despite April CPI accelerating to 2.6% year-over-year—its steepest pace in 21 months—fueled by Middle East-driven energy costs, and Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dae's May 3 remarks signaling time to consider hikes amid resilient growth and won depreciation to 17-year lows near 1,480 per dollar. Korean 10-year Treasury yields topped 4% on May 12 as hike bets flickered, but trader capital favors stability given balanced inflation risks. Realistic challenges include hotter May CPI or sharper currency weakness prompting an unexpected 25-basis-point increase, though such shifts remain low-odds scenarios ahead of the decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s May monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its May 28, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their May 28, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Volume
$96,940Date de fin
28 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Feb 26, 2026, 7:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders assign a 97.2% implied probability to no change in the Bank of Korea's base rate at its May 28 meeting, reflecting strong consensus around the Monetary Policy Board's cautious, data-dependent stance after seven consecutive holds at 2.50% through April. This positioning persists despite April CPI accelerating to 2.6% year-over-year—its steepest pace in 21 months—fueled by Middle East-driven energy costs, and Deputy Governor Ryoo Sang-dae's May 3 remarks signaling time to consider hikes amid resilient growth and won depreciation to 17-year lows near 1,480 per dollar. Korean 10-year Treasury yields topped 4% on May 12 as hike bets flickered, but trader capital favors stability given balanced inflation risks. Realistic challenges include hotter May CPI or sharper currency weakness prompting an unexpected 25-basis-point increase, though such shifts remain low-odds scenarios ahead of the decision.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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