The Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5 percent, marking the eighth consecutive cut, has anchored trader expectations for another reduction at the June 19 meeting amid a disinflationary trajectory. Annual inflation stood at 5.7 percent as of late April, with underlying measures holding in the 4–5 percent annualized range after excluding one-off VAT and tariff effects, while inflation expectations have eased and the ruble has stabilized near 74 to the dollar. Policymakers' baseline forecast calls for inflation to reach 4.5–5.5 percent for 2026 overall and the average key rate to settle between 14.0 and 14.5 percent, though pro-inflationary risks from fiscal spending and external conditions continue to cap aggressive easing. May CPI data and the central bank's updated guidance will serve as the next key inputs ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourDécision de la Banque de Russie en juin ?
Decrease 88%
No Change 13%
Increase 2.1%
$50,373 Vol.
$50,373 Vol.
Decrease
88%
No Change
13%
Increase
2%
Decrease 88%
No Change 13%
Increase 2.1%
$50,373 Vol.
$50,373 Vol.
Decrease
88%
No Change
13%
Increase
2%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 8:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Russia after its June 19, 2026 meeting as listed on the official Bank of Russia calendar: https://www.cbr.ru/eng/dkp/cal_mp/#t13
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Russia’s press release for their June 19, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the key rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of Russia's April 24 decision to lower its key rate by 50 basis points to 14.5 percent, marking the eighth consecutive cut, has anchored trader expectations for another reduction at the June 19 meeting amid a disinflationary trajectory. Annual inflation stood at 5.7 percent as of late April, with underlying measures holding in the 4–5 percent annualized range after excluding one-off VAT and tariff effects, while inflation expectations have eased and the ruble has stabilized near 74 to the dollar. Policymakers' baseline forecast calls for inflation to reach 4.5–5.5 percent for 2026 overall and the average key rate to settle between 14.0 and 14.5 percent, though pro-inflationary risks from fiscal spending and external conditions continue to cap aggressive easing. May CPI data and the central bank's updated guidance will serve as the next key inputs ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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