Bending Spoons’ Nasdaq IPO filing in mid-June 2026, seeking up to $1.62 billion at a targeted $19–20 billion valuation with a $26–$28 per share range, anchors trader sentiment around the $19B–$22B and $22B–$25B brackets. The even 49.5% odds across mid-range outcomes reflect uncertainty over final pricing amid volatile tech multiples, recent acquisitions including AOL and Eventbrite, and dual-class share structure that preserves founder control. Prior $11 billion private valuation from late 2025 underscores rapid growth but also highlights execution risk before the early-July targeted debut. Proximity to resolution and sensitivity to Nasdaq sentiment, Treasury yields, and IPO demand create tight spreads, with the sub-10% probability on “no IPO before September 2026” underscoring the near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBending Spoons IPO Closing Market Cap
<$16B 43%
$19B-$22B 39%
22-25 milliards de dollars 38%
16-19 milliards de dollars 38%
<$16B
43%
16-19 milliards de dollars
38%
$19B-$22B
39%
22-25 milliards de dollars
38%
25 à 28 milliards $
36%
>28 Md$
24%
Pas d’introduction en bourse avant septembre 2026
37%
<$16B 43%
$19B-$22B 39%
22-25 milliards de dollars 38%
16-19 milliards de dollars 38%
<$16B
43%
16-19 milliards de dollars
38%
$19B-$22B
39%
22-25 milliards de dollars
38%
25 à 28 milliards $
36%
>28 Md$
24%
Pas d’introduction en bourse avant septembre 2026
37%
As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 1 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Jun 25, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...As of market creation, the IPO is scheduled to price on July 1 (ET). If no such IPO occurs by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before September 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.
It is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.
If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.
The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.
In the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Bending Spoons’ Nasdaq IPO filing in mid-June 2026, seeking up to $1.62 billion at a targeted $19–20 billion valuation with a $26–$28 per share range, anchors trader sentiment around the $19B–$22B and $22B–$25B brackets. The even 49.5% odds across mid-range outcomes reflect uncertainty over final pricing amid volatile tech multiples, recent acquisitions including AOL and Eventbrite, and dual-class share structure that preserves founder control. Prior $11 billion private valuation from late 2025 underscores rapid growth but also highlights execution risk before the early-July targeted debut. Proximity to resolution and sensitivity to Nasdaq sentiment, Treasury yields, and IPO demand create tight spreads, with the sub-10% probability on “no IPO before September 2026” underscoring the near-term catalyst.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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