Recent polling consistently places leftist candidate Iván Cepeda ahead in the May 31 first-round vote but well short of the majority needed to avoid a runoff, while independent right-wing contender Abelardo de la Espriella has pulled slightly ahead of center-right senator Paloma Valencia in the contest for second place. This pattern across multiple surveys has shaped trader consensus around a Cepeda-de la Espriella matchup advancing to the June 21 second round. Cepeda draws support as the standard-bearer for continuity with the current administration, whereas de la Espriella benefits from outsider appeal on security issues and has avoided primary fragmentation that affected other conservative options. No major campaign shifts or late developments have altered these dynamics in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 80%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.1%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 9%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 mai 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
80%
1st Round Outright Winner
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
9%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Other
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 80%
1st Round Outright Winner 11.1%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 9%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 mai 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$3,415 Vol.
80%
1st Round Outright Winner
$1,811 Vol.
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$2,278 Vol.
9%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$1,304 Vol.
<1%
Other
$1,031 Vol.
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently places leftist candidate Iván Cepeda ahead in the May 31 first-round vote but well short of the majority needed to avoid a runoff, while independent right-wing contender Abelardo de la Espriella has pulled slightly ahead of center-right senator Paloma Valencia in the contest for second place. This pattern across multiple surveys has shaped trader consensus around a Cepeda-de la Espriella matchup advancing to the June 21 second round. Cepeda draws support as the standard-bearer for continuity with the current administration, whereas de la Espriella benefits from outsider appeal on security issues and has avoided primary fragmentation that affected other conservative options. No major campaign shifts or late developments have altered these dynamics in the final weeks.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Volume
$9,840Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling consistently places leftist candidate Iván Cepeda ahead in the May 31 first-round vote but well short of the majority needed to avoid a runoff, while independent right-wing contender Abelardo de la Espriella has pulled slightly ahead of center-right senator Paloma Valencia in the contest for second place. This pattern across multiple surveys has shaped trader consensus around a Cepeda-de la Espriella matchup advancing to the June 21 second round. Cepeda draws support as the standard-bearer for continuity with the current administration, whereas de la Espriella benefits from outsider appeal on security issues and has avoided primary fragmentation that affected other conservative options. No major campaign shifts or late developments have altered these dynamics in the final weeks.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$9,840Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling consistently places leftist candidate Iván Cepeda ahead in the May 31 first-round vote but well short of the majority needed to avoid a runoff, while independent right-wing contender Abelardo de la Espriella has pulled slightly ahead of center-right senator Paloma Valencia in the contest for second place. This pattern across multiple surveys has shaped trader consensus around a Cepeda-de la Espriella matchup advancing to the June 21 second round. Cepeda draws support as the standard-bearer for continuity with the current administration, whereas de la Espriella benefits from outsider appeal on security issues and has avoided primary fragmentation that affected other conservative options. No major campaign shifts or late developments have altered these dynamics in the final weeks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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