Historical turnout in Colombia's presidential first rounds has consistently fallen in the mid-50 percent range, anchoring trader consensus on the 54-57 percent band ahead of the May 31 vote. A fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda with support in the high 30s to low 40s and trailing candidates below 30 percent points to a standard runoff scenario rather than exceptional mobilization. Recent modeling from analysts projects participation near 55 percent of the 41.5 million registered voters, while scattered reports of security incidents in rural areas introduce limited downside risk without altering the broader baseline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
48-51% 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 mai 2026
<48%
4%
48-51%
21%
51-54%
23%
54-57%
48%
57-60%
13%
60%+
18%
54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
48-51% 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 mai 2026
<48%
$436 Vol.
4%
48-51%
$428 Vol.
21%
51-54%
$420 Vol.
23%
54-57%
$441 Vol.
48%
57-60%
$420 Vol.
13%
60%+
$489 Vol.
18%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Historical turnout in Colombia's presidential first rounds has consistently fallen in the mid-50 percent range, anchoring trader consensus on the 54-57 percent band ahead of the May 31 vote. A fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda with support in the high 30s to low 40s and trailing candidates below 30 percent points to a standard runoff scenario rather than exceptional mobilization. Recent modeling from analysts projects participation near 55 percent of the 41.5 million registered voters, while scattered reports of security incidents in rural areas introduce limited downside risk without altering the broader baseline.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Marché ouvert : Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volume
$2,634Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Historical turnout in Colombia's presidential first rounds has consistently fallen in the mid-50 percent range, anchoring trader consensus on the 54-57 percent band ahead of the May 31 vote. A fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda with support in the high 30s to low 40s and trailing candidates below 30 percent points to a standard runoff scenario rather than exceptional mobilization. Recent modeling from analysts projects participation near 55 percent of the 41.5 million registered voters, while scattered reports of security incidents in rural areas introduce limited downside risk without altering the broader baseline.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$2,634Date de fin
31 mai 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Historical turnout in Colombia's presidential first rounds has consistently fallen in the mid-50 percent range, anchoring trader consensus on the 54-57 percent band ahead of the May 31 vote. A fragmented field led by Iván Cepeda with support in the high 30s to low 40s and trailing candidates below 30 percent points to a standard runoff scenario rather than exceptional mobilization. Recent modeling from analysts projects participation near 55 percent of the 41.5 million registered voters, while scattered reports of security incidents in rural areas introduce limited downside risk without altering the broader baseline.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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