Skip to main content
icon for Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Politique·Récompenses 20, 4.5, 50

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

icon for Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Politique·Récompenses 20, 4.5, 50

Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 79%

1st Round Outright Winner 11.0%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 10%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 79%

1st Round Outright Winner 11.0%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 10%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro

$3,517 Vol.

79%

1st Round Outright Winner

$1,811 Vol.

11%

Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro

$2,278 Vol.

10%

Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia

$1,304 Vol.

<1%

Other

$1,031 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages place left-leaning Senator Iván Cepeda comfortably ahead for the May 31 first round but well short of the 50 percent threshold required for an outright victory, while the right-wing vote remains split between far-right lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella and center-right Senator Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has edged Valencia in most late-April and mid-May surveys amid high undecided voter shares and low name recognition for other contenders, with his campaign gaining visibility from recent public appearances despite controversy over past remarks. This positioning has concentrated trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff, reflected in the elevated probability assigned to that pairing ahead of the June 21 second round.

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$9,942
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling averages place left-leaning Senator Iván Cepeda comfortably ahead for the May 31 first round but well short of the 50 percent threshold required for an outright victory, while the right-wing vote remains split between far-right lawyer Abelardo de la Espriella and center-right Senator Paloma Valencia. De la Espriella has edged Valencia in most late-April and mid-May surveys amid high undecided voter shares and low name recognition for other contenders, with his campaign gaining visibility from recent public appearances despite controversy over past remarks. This positioning has concentrated trader consensus on a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff, reflected in the elevated probability assigned to that pairing ahead of the June 21 second round.

Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.

If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.

If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$9,942
Date de fin
31 mai 2026
Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro » à 79%, suivi de « 1st Round Outright Winner » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 79¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le May 13, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round? », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round? » est « Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro » à 79%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 79% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 1st Round Outright Winner » à 11%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.