Turkish courts have upheld Ekrem İmamoğlu’s pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, espionage, and related charges, with prosecutors seeking sentences exceeding 2,000 years. The central graft trial opened in March 2026 and continues through mid-year with repeated adjournments and no resolution, while parallel proceedings—including a May 2026 diploma appeal ruling—have reinforced custody. Multiple release motions have been denied, and no legislative, executive, or judicial developments have emerged to alter that trajectory before December 31. Traders therefore price the “No” outcome near 88 percent, reflecting the absence of near-term catalysts capable of shifting the sustained legal process.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish courts have upheld Ekrem İmamoğlu’s pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, espionage, and related charges, with prosecutors seeking sentences exceeding 2,000 years. The central graft trial opened in March 2026 and continues through mid-year with repeated adjournments and no resolution, while parallel proceedings—including a May 2026 diploma appeal ruling—have reinforced custody. Multiple release motions have been denied, and no legislative, executive, or judicial developments have emerged to alter that trajectory before December 31. Traders therefore price the “No” outcome near 88 percent, reflecting the absence of near-term catalysts capable of shifting the sustained legal process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ET
Volume
$1,980Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Turkish courts have upheld Ekrem İmamoğlu’s pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, espionage, and related charges, with prosecutors seeking sentences exceeding 2,000 years. The central graft trial opened in March 2026 and continues through mid-year with repeated adjournments and no resolution, while parallel proceedings—including a May 2026 diploma appeal ruling—have reinforced custody. Multiple release motions have been denied, and no legislative, executive, or judicial developments have emerged to alter that trajectory before December 31. Traders therefore price the “No” outcome near 88 percent, reflecting the absence of near-term catalysts capable of shifting the sustained legal process.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ekrem İmamoğlu is released from custody between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Ekrem İmamoğlu is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in him leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Ekrem İmamoğlu to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,980Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
May 24, 2026, 9:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Turkish courts have upheld Ekrem İmamoğlu’s pre-trial detention since his March 2025 arrest on corruption, organized crime, espionage, and related charges, with prosecutors seeking sentences exceeding 2,000 years. The central graft trial opened in March 2026 and continues through mid-year with repeated adjournments and no resolution, while parallel proceedings—including a May 2026 diploma appeal ruling—have reinforced custody. Multiple release motions have been denied, and no legislative, executive, or judicial developments have emerged to alter that trajectory before December 31. Traders therefore price the “No” outcome near 88 percent, reflecting the absence of near-term catalysts capable of shifting the sustained legal process.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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