**Elon Musk’s established posting pace on X—typically 20–30 tweets per day in recent comparable periods—anchors trader expectations for the June 29–July 1 window.** Comparable seven-day markets earlier in June resolved in the 160–199 range, reflecting daily averages near 25 tweets amid routine engagement with news, replies, and commentary. The three-day span therefore clusters probability around 40–89 tweets, with the 40–64 bracket (47.5%) edging out 65–89 (32.5%) as the modal outcome. Lower ranges (<40) sit at 11.5% while higher brackets remain thin, consistent with the absence of any major catalyst—such as a product launch, regulatory hearing, or viral controversy—that would materially lift or suppress volume. Weekend patterns have historically shown modest variation rather than sharp spikes, reinforcing the current market-implied distribution based on sustained, real-capital-backed assessment of his activity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 50%
65-89 32%
<40 12%
90-114 4.9%
NOUVEAU
$19,094 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$19,094 Vol.
1 juil. 2026
<40
12%
40-64
50%
65-89
32%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 50%
65-89 32%
<40 12%
90-114 4.9%
NOUVEAU
$19,094 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$19,094 Vol.
1 juil. 2026
<40
$828 Vol.
12%
40-64
$448 Vol.
50%
65-89
$103 Vol.
32%
90-114
$535 Vol.
5%
115-139
$409 Vol.
1%
140-164
$1,218 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$1,191 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$3,615 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$5,140 Vol.
<1%
240+
$5,606 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 29 12:00 PM ET to July 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk’s established posting pace on X—typically 20–30 tweets per day in recent comparable periods—anchors trader expectations for the June 29–July 1 window.**
Comparable seven-day markets earlier in June resolved in the 160–199 range, reflecting daily averages near 25 tweets amid routine engagement with news, replies, and commentary. The three-day span therefore clusters probability around 40–89 tweets, with the 40–64 bracket (47.5%) edging out 65–89 (32.5%) as the modal outcome.
Lower ranges (<40) sit at 11.5% while higher brackets remain thin, consistent with the absence of any major catalyst—such as a product launch, regulatory hearing, or viral controversy—that would materially lift or suppress volume. Weekend patterns have historically shown modest variation rather than sharp spikes, reinforcing the current market-implied distribution based on sustained, real-capital-backed assessment of his activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 29 12:00 PM ET to July 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$19,094Date de fin
1 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 29 12:00 PM ET to July 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.**Elon Musk’s established posting pace on X—typically 20–30 tweets per day in recent comparable periods—anchors trader expectations for the June 29–July 1 window.**
Comparable seven-day markets earlier in June resolved in the 160–199 range, reflecting daily averages near 25 tweets amid routine engagement with news, replies, and commentary. The three-day span therefore clusters probability around 40–89 tweets, with the 40–64 bracket (47.5%) edging out 65–89 (32.5%) as the modal outcome.
Lower ranges (<40) sit at 11.5% while higher brackets remain thin, consistent with the absence of any major catalyst—such as a product launch, regulatory hearing, or viral controversy—that would materially lift or suppress volume. Weekend patterns have historically shown modest variation rather than sharp spikes, reinforcing the current market-implied distribution based on sustained, real-capital-backed assessment of his activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 29 12:00 PM ET to July 1, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$19,094Date de fin
1 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 27, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Elon Musk’s established posting pace on X—typically 20–30 tweets per day in recent comparable periods—anchors trader expectations for the June 29–July 1 window.** Comparable seven-day markets earlier in June resolved in the 160–199 range, reflecting daily averages near 25 tweets amid routine engagement with news, replies, and commentary. The three-day span therefore clusters probability around 40–89 tweets, with the 40–64 bracket (47.5%) edging out 65–89 (32.5%) as the modal outcome. Lower ranges (<40) sit at 11.5% while higher brackets remain thin, consistent with the absence of any major catalyst—such as a product launch, regulatory hearing, or viral controversy—that would materially lift or suppress volume. Weekend patterns have historically shown modest variation rather than sharp spikes, reinforcing the current market-implied distribution based on sustained, real-capital-backed assessment of his activity.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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