Trump's pattern of direct public criticism through speeches, social media posts, and interviews has established a consistent record of personal remarks toward political opponents, media figures, and officials. Daily resolution markets on specific dates reflect trader consensus shaped by this ongoing activity, with scheduled events such as rallies, press interactions, and policy announcements providing regular opportunities for statements. Historical frequency during active political periods supports elevated probabilities for occurrences on most dates, while resolution depends strictly on verifiable public language meeting the defined criteria of personal or professional disparagement. No major procedural barriers or external constraints alter the core dynamics in the near term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$449,717 Vol.
30 juin 2026
18 juin
94%
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93%
27 juin
92%
10 juin
96%
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96%
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93%
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93%
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93%
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94%
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92%
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93%
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92%
20 juin
92%
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91%
22 juin
92%
23 juin
92%
24 juin
92%
26 juin
92%
28 juin
93%
29 juin
92%
30 juin
92%
$449,717 Vol.
18 juin
$1,536 Vol.
94%
25 juin
$146 Vol.
93%
27 juin
$150 Vol.
92%
10 juin
$13,316 Vol.
96%
11 juin
$4,448 Vol.
96%
12 juin
$3,480 Vol.
93%
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$1,662 Vol.
93%
14 juin
$1,418 Vol.
93%
15 juin
$2,835 Vol.
94%
16 juin
$284 Vol.
92%
17 juin
$813 Vol.
93%
19 juin
$232 Vol.
92%
20 juin
$190 Vol.
92%
21 juin
$2,235 Vol.
91%
22 juin
$322 Vol.
92%
23 juin
$149 Vol.
92%
24 juin
$179 Vol.
92%
26 juin
$207 Vol.
92%
28 juin
$768 Vol.
93%
29 juin
$1,328 Vol.
92%
30 juin
$173 Vol.
92%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's pattern of direct public criticism through speeches, social media posts, and interviews has established a consistent record of personal remarks toward political opponents, media figures, and officials. Daily resolution markets on specific dates reflect trader consensus shaped by this ongoing activity, with scheduled events such as rallies, press interactions, and policy announcements providing regular opportunities for statements. Historical frequency during active political periods supports elevated probabilities for occurrences on most dates, while resolution depends strictly on verifiable public language meeting the defined criteria of personal or professional disparagement. No major procedural barriers or external constraints alter the core dynamics in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ET
Volume
$449,717Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Trump's pattern of direct public criticism through speeches, social media posts, and interviews has established a consistent record of personal remarks toward political opponents, media figures, and officials. Daily resolution markets on specific dates reflect trader consensus shaped by this ongoing activity, with scheduled events such as rallies, press interactions, and policy announcements providing regular opportunities for statements. Historical frequency during active political periods supports elevated probabilities for occurrences on most dates, while resolution depends strictly on verifiable public language meeting the defined criteria of personal or professional disparagement. No major procedural barriers or external constraints alter the core dynamics in the near term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$449,717Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 1, 2026, 1:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's pattern of direct public criticism through speeches, social media posts, and interviews has established a consistent record of personal remarks toward political opponents, media figures, and officials. Daily resolution markets on specific dates reflect trader consensus shaped by this ongoing activity, with scheduled events such as rallies, press interactions, and policy announcements providing regular opportunities for statements. Historical frequency during active political periods supports elevated probabilities for occurrences on most dates, while resolution depends strictly on verifiable public language meeting the defined criteria of personal or professional disparagement. No major procedural barriers or external constraints alter the core dynamics in the near term.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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