Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s, with individual surveys from early June ranging from 35% to 44% depending on the pollster and sample. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 38% because economic concerns, particularly inflation and cost-of-living pressures, continue to weigh on ratings while the Iran conflict has produced mixed but predominantly negative public reactions in recent weeks. No major new announcements or events have shifted the underlying trend in the past several days, leaving the outcome sensitive to the precise timing and methodology of any final polls released before the June 12 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour38.5–38.9 51%
38.0–38.4 44%
39.0–39.4 11%
<38.0 3.0%
<38.0
3%
38.0–38.4
44%
38.5–38.9
53%
39.0–39.4
18%
39.5–39.9
3%
40.0+
<1%
38.5–38.9 51%
38.0–38.4 44%
39.0–39.4 11%
<38.0 3.0%
<38.0
3%
38.0–38.4
44%
38.5–38.9
53%
39.0–39.4
18%
39.5–39.9
3%
40.0+
<1%
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Jun 5, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the high 30s, with individual surveys from early June ranging from 35% to 44% depending on the pollster and sample. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 38% because economic concerns, particularly inflation and cost-of-living pressures, continue to weigh on ratings while the Iran conflict has produced mixed but predominantly negative public reactions in recent weeks. No major new announcements or events have shifted the underlying trend in the past several days, leaving the outcome sensitive to the precise timing and methodology of any final polls released before the June 12 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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