Traders have heavily backed the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18 because his recent posting cadence on X aligns closely with that window, averaging roughly 15-20 posts per day amid ongoing cultural and political commentary. Fresh activity on May 16, including multiple replies and reposts about UK free-speech issues and industry double standards, reinforces this baseline without signaling a surge or slowdown. The market's implied probabilities reflect X's real-time engagement dynamics, where Musk's volume fluctuates with breaking news cycles yet rarely exceeds 30 daily posts unless tied to major platform announcements. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week statements could still nudge totals toward the 65-89 bracket, though the current 78.5% consensus on the mid-range holds steady given consistent historical patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 79%
65-89 23%
90-114 1.3%
115-139 <1%
$823,241 Vol.
$823,241 Vol.
18 mai 2026
Moins de 40
<1%
40-64
79%
65-89
23%
90-114
1%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 79%
65-89 23%
90-114 1.3%
115-139 <1%
$823,241 Vol.
$823,241 Vol.
18 mai 2026
Moins de 40
$325,931 Vol.
<1%
40-64
$72,009 Vol.
79%
65-89
$75,981 Vol.
23%
90-114
$97,814 Vol.
1%
115-139
$68,953 Vol.
<1%
140-164
$61,120 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$53,265 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$37,343 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$15,853 Vol.
<1%
240+
$18,696 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have heavily backed the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18 because his recent posting cadence on X aligns closely with that window, averaging roughly 15-20 posts per day amid ongoing cultural and political commentary. Fresh activity on May 16, including multiple replies and reposts about UK free-speech issues and industry double standards, reinforces this baseline without signaling a surge or slowdown. The market's implied probabilities reflect X's real-time engagement dynamics, where Musk's volume fluctuates with breaking news cycles yet rarely exceeds 30 daily posts unless tied to major platform announcements. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week statements could still nudge totals toward the 65-89 bracket, though the current 78.5% consensus on the mid-range holds steady given consistent historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$823,241Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders have heavily backed the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18 because his recent posting cadence on X aligns closely with that window, averaging roughly 15-20 posts per day amid ongoing cultural and political commentary. Fresh activity on May 16, including multiple replies and reposts about UK free-speech issues and industry double standards, reinforces this baseline without signaling a surge or slowdown. The market's implied probabilities reflect X's real-time engagement dynamics, where Musk's volume fluctuates with breaking news cycles yet rarely exceeds 30 daily posts unless tied to major platform announcements. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week statements could still nudge totals toward the 65-89 bracket, though the current 78.5% consensus on the mid-range holds steady given consistent historical patterns.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 16 12:00 PM ET to May 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$823,241Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have heavily backed the 40-64 tweet range for Elon Musk across May 16-18 because his recent posting cadence on X aligns closely with that window, averaging roughly 15-20 posts per day amid ongoing cultural and political commentary. Fresh activity on May 16, including multiple replies and reposts about UK free-speech issues and industry double standards, reinforces this baseline without signaling a surge or slowdown. The market's implied probabilities reflect X's real-time engagement dynamics, where Musk's volume fluctuates with breaking news cycles yet rarely exceeds 30 daily posts unless tied to major platform announcements. Upcoming chart updates and any late-week statements could still nudge totals toward the 65-89 bracket, though the current 78.5% consensus on the mid-range holds steady given consistent historical patterns.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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