Traders are positioning 40-64 tweets as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity over May 18-20 because it aligns with his established pattern of steady, high-volume posting during routine weekends free of major product launches or policy announcements. Recent weeks have shown consistent daily output without the spikes that typically accompany Tesla earnings or regulatory developments, leaving the higher brackets at slim implied probabilities. With no confirmed events or high-stakes interviews on the calendar for that stretch, market sentiment reflects the platform’s usual engagement rhythm rather than any anticipated surge, underscoring how unpredictable last-minute statements can still shift final totals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 55%
65-89 25%
<40 17%
90-114 6%
$43,394 Vol.
$43,394 Vol.
<40
17%
40-64
55%
65-89
25%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 55%
65-89 25%
<40 17%
90-114 6%
$43,394 Vol.
$43,394 Vol.
<40
17%
40-64
55%
65-89
25%
90-114
6%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskTraders are positioning 40-64 tweets as the clear frontrunner for Elon Musk’s X activity over May 18-20 because it aligns with his established pattern of steady, high-volume posting during routine weekends free of major product launches or policy announcements. Recent weeks have shown consistent daily output without the spikes that typically accompany Tesla earnings or regulatory developments, leaving the higher brackets at slim implied probabilities. With no confirmed events or high-stakes interviews on the calendar for that stretch, market sentiment reflects the platform’s usual engagement rhythm rather than any anticipated surge, underscoring how unpredictable last-minute statements can still shift final totals.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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