Trader consensus on Polymarket has settled on the 40-64 tweet bracket as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 18-20, reflecting his established X posting rhythm during low-catalyst weekends. With no confirmed product unveilings, political developments, or high-profile appearances on the immediate horizon, activity is expected to track routine engagement with news cycles and follower interactions rather than spiking from major announcements. Historical patterns show Musk sustaining moderate volumes in similar quiet stretches, bolstering the leading outcome’s implied probability while leaving room for upside if unexpected events emerge. The three-day window opens imminently, keeping traders alert to any rapid shifts in real-time posting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour40-64 56%
65-89 25%
<40 17%
90-114 5%
NOUVEAU
$44,227 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$44,227 Vol.
20 mai 2026
<40
17%
40-64
56%
65-89
25%
90-114
5%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
40-64 56%
65-89 25%
<40 17%
90-114 5%
NOUVEAU
$44,227 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$44,227 Vol.
20 mai 2026
<40
$2,407 Vol.
17%
40-64
$3,931 Vol.
56%
65-89
$2,978 Vol.
25%
90-114
$5,638 Vol.
5%
115-139
$4,482 Vol.
1%
140-164
$2,691 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$4,517 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$4,356 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$6,486 Vol.
<1%
240+
$6,776 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has settled on the 40-64 tweet bracket as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 18-20, reflecting his established X posting rhythm during low-catalyst weekends. With no confirmed product unveilings, political developments, or high-profile appearances on the immediate horizon, activity is expected to track routine engagement with news cycles and follower interactions rather than spiking from major announcements. Historical patterns show Musk sustaining moderate volumes in similar quiet stretches, bolstering the leading outcome’s implied probability while leaving room for upside if unexpected events emerge. The three-day window opens imminently, keeping traders alert to any rapid shifts in real-time posting.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET
Volume
$44,227Date de fin
20 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskThis market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket has settled on the 40-64 tweet bracket as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 18-20, reflecting his established X posting rhythm during low-catalyst weekends. With no confirmed product unveilings, political developments, or high-profile appearances on the immediate horizon, activity is expected to track routine engagement with news cycles and follower interactions rather than spiking from major announcements. Historical patterns show Musk sustaining moderate volumes in similar quiet stretches, bolstering the leading outcome’s implied probability while leaving room for upside if unexpected events emerge. The three-day window opens imminently, keeping traders alert to any rapid shifts in real-time posting.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from May 18 12:00 PM ET to May 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$44,227Date de fin
20 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskTrader consensus on Polymarket has settled on the 40-64 tweet bracket as the frontrunner for Elon Musk’s activity from May 18-20, reflecting his established X posting rhythm during low-catalyst weekends. With no confirmed product unveilings, political developments, or high-profile appearances on the immediate horizon, activity is expected to track routine engagement with news cycles and follower interactions rather than spiking from major announcements. Historical patterns show Musk sustaining moderate volumes in similar quiet stretches, bolstering the leading outcome’s implied probability while leaving room for upside if unexpected events emerge. The three-day window opens imminently, keeping traders alert to any rapid shifts in real-time posting.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes