Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 550-650 total X posts by Elon Musk for May 2026, with 560-579 (7.4%) and 600-619 (7.3%) leading narrowly amid tightly matched odds reflecting high uncertainty over his variable cadence. Through May 13, roughly halfway, his pace projects to this range based on an early-month surge averaging 40-50 daily posts (e.g., May 1-8 near 400), offset by a sharp weekend dip to just 5 posts May 11-13 tied to high-profile commitments. Recent rebound features viral cultural jabs at Hollywood hypocrisy and immigration debates, sustaining engagement. Key swing factors include spikes from Tesla/SpaceX announcements or political firestorms, with 18 days left introducing volatility—watch Beijing trip buzz and X algorithm tweaks as potential catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour600-619 7.5%
560-579 7.4%
660-679 6.9%
540-559 6.9%
$2,160,727 Vol.
$2,160,727 Vol.
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
3%
460-479
3%
480-499
4%
500-519
6%
520-539
6%
540-559
7%
560-579
7%
580-599
7%
600-619
8%
620-639
6%
640-659
6%
660-679
7%
680-699
5%
700-719
4%
720-739
3%
740-759
3%
760-779
2%
780-799
2%
800-839
2%
840-879
2%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
<1%
1000-1039
<1%
1040-1079
<1%
1080-1119
<1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
600-619 7.5%
560-579 7.4%
660-679 6.9%
540-559 6.9%
$2,160,727 Vol.
$2,160,727 Vol.
160-179
<1%
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
<1%
240-259
<1%
260-279
<1%
280-299
<1%
300-319
<1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
3%
460-479
3%
480-499
4%
500-519
6%
520-539
6%
540-559
7%
560-579
7%
580-599
7%
600-619
8%
620-639
6%
640-659
6%
660-679
7%
680-699
5%
700-719
4%
720-739
3%
740-759
3%
760-779
2%
780-799
2%
800-839
2%
840-879
2%
880-919
1%
920-959
1%
960-999
<1%
1000-1039
<1%
1040-1079
<1%
1080-1119
<1%
1120-1159
<1%
1160-1199
<1%
1200-1239
<1%
1240-1279
<1%
1280-1319
<1%
1320-1359
<1%
1360-1399
<1%
1400-1439
<1%
1440-1479
<1%
1480-1519
<1%
1520-1559
<1%
1560-1599
<1%
1600-1679
<1%
1680-1759
<1%
1760-1839
<1%
1840-1919
<1%
1920-1999
<1%
2000+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Mar 24, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters around 550-650 total X posts by Elon Musk for May 2026, with 560-579 (7.4%) and 600-619 (7.3%) leading narrowly amid tightly matched odds reflecting high uncertainty over his variable cadence. Through May 13, roughly halfway, his pace projects to this range based on an early-month surge averaging 40-50 daily posts (e.g., May 1-8 near 400), offset by a sharp weekend dip to just 5 posts May 11-13 tied to high-profile commitments. Recent rebound features viral cultural jabs at Hollywood hypocrisy and immigration debates, sustaining engagement. Key swing factors include spikes from Tesla/SpaceX announcements or political firestorms, with 18 days left introducing volatility—watch Beijing trip buzz and X algorithm tweaks as potential catalysts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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