Israel's commanding 100% implied probability for second place at Eurovision 2026 stems directly from the May 16 grand final in Vienna, where Noam Bettan's "Michelle" captured a decisive share of the televote despite Bulgaria claiming the overall victory. Pre-final betting markets had already positioned the entry for a strong top-10 finish, fueled by its polished production, memorable staging with the signature diamond prop, and consistent jury-televote split that favored public support. Historical patterns of high televote swings in recent contests, combined with Israel's established fanbase mobilization, locked in trader consensus ahead of results. An upset would require a verified scoring error or EBU reversal, both highly improbable at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourEurovision 2nd Place 2026
Eurovision 2nd Place 2026
Israel 100.0%
Albania <1%
Austria <1%
Belgium <1%
$83,643 Vol.
$83,643 Vol.
Albania
No
Austria
No
Belgium
No
Croatia
No
Czechia
No
Estonia
No
France
No
Germany
No
Israel
Yes
Latvia
No
Luxembourg
No
Moldova
No
Norway
No
Portugal
No
San Marino
No
Sweden
No
Ukraine
No
Armenia
No
Australia
No
Azerbaijan
No
Bulgaria
No
Cyprus
No
Denmark
No
Finland
No
Georgia
No
Greece
No
Italy
No
Lithuania
No
Malta
No
Montenegro
No
Poland
No
Romania
No
Serbia
No
Switzerland
No
United Kingdom
No
Israel 100.0%
Albania <1%
Austria <1%
Belgium <1%
$83,643 Vol.
$83,643 Vol.
Albania
No
Austria
No
Belgium
No
Croatia
No
Czechia
No
Estonia
No
France
No
Germany
No
Israel
Yes
Latvia
No
Luxembourg
No
Moldova
No
Norway
No
Portugal
No
San Marino
No
Sweden
No
Ukraine
No
Armenia
No
Australia
No
Azerbaijan
No
Bulgaria
No
Cyprus
No
Denmark
No
Finland
No
Georgia
No
Greece
No
Italy
No
Lithuania
No
Malta
No
Montenegro
No
Poland
No
Romania
No
Serbia
No
Switzerland
No
United Kingdom
No
If no second place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Marché ouvert : May 12, 2026, 11:55 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
If no second place country is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Israel's commanding 100% implied probability for second place at Eurovision 2026 stems directly from the May 16 grand final in Vienna, where Noam Bettan's "Michelle" captured a decisive share of the televote despite Bulgaria claiming the overall victory. Pre-final betting markets had already positioned the entry for a strong top-10 finish, fueled by its polished production, memorable staging with the signature diamond prop, and consistent jury-televote split that favored public support. Historical patterns of high televote swings in recent contests, combined with Israel's established fanbase mobilization, locked in trader consensus ahead of results. An upset would require a verified scoring error or EBU reversal, both highly improbable at this stage.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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