Robust U.S. economic data through mid-2026, featuring steady GDP expansion, unemployment near 4.2 percent, and a stable labor market, underpin the 92 percent market-implied odds against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027. With the federal funds rate held at 3.50-3.75 percent amid elevated inflation near 3.4-4.1 percent from energy and supply shocks, the FOMC has prioritized gradual adjustments over unscheduled easing. Recent communications and dot plots signal potential hikes rather than cuts, reflecting trader consensus on resilience. Sharp deterioration in upcoming August CPI or September employment data, or major geopolitical or financial shocks, could still alter this path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBaisse du taux d'urgence de la Fed avant 2027 ?
Oui
$138,951 Vol.
$138,951 Vol.
Oui
$138,951 Vol.
$138,951 Vol.
An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Marché ouvert : Nov 12, 2025, 6:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An emergency meeting is defined as any unscheduled meeting called by the Federal Reserve Board or the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) apart from the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2025 and the regular eight pre-scheduled meetings for 2026.
The resolution source will be official announcements from the Federal Reserve’s website (federalreserve.gov) or credible news sources reporting on the emergency meeting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Robust U.S. economic data through mid-2026, featuring steady GDP expansion, unemployment near 4.2 percent, and a stable labor market, underpin the 92 percent market-implied odds against a Fed emergency rate cut before 2027. With the federal funds rate held at 3.50-3.75 percent amid elevated inflation near 3.4-4.1 percent from energy and supply shocks, the FOMC has prioritized gradual adjustments over unscheduled easing. Recent communications and dot plots signal potential hikes rather than cuts, reflecting trader consensus on resilience. Sharp deterioration in upcoming August CPI or September employment data, or major geopolitical or financial shocks, could still alter this path.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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