Traders' closely matched sentiment, with 29% implied probability for a 2.0T-2.5T SpaceX IPO closing market cap followed by 25.5% for 1.5T-2.0T, stems from the company's April 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting over $1.75 trillion amid explosive Starlink satellite broadband growth and Starship megarocket milestones. Starship Version 3's May 12 debut from a new launch pad, coupled with an imminent Flight 12 test around May 19 and plans for global spaceports, bolsters competitive dominance in reusable orbital launches versus rivals like Rocket Lab. Brookfield's $2 billion pre-IPO investment signals institutional confidence, though final pricing hinges on the June 8 roadshow and market conditions, keeping higher brackets like 3.0T+ below 12% amid execution risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCapitalisation boursière de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de SpaceX
Capitalisation boursière de clôture de l'introduction en bourse de SpaceX
$1,974,563 Vol.
$1,974,563 Vol.
<1,0 T
5%
1,0 T$-1,5 T$
8%
1,5T-2,0T
26%
2,0 T$-2,5 T$
29%
2,5 T$ – 3,0 T$
21%
3,0 T$-3,5 T$
10%
3,5 T$+
3%
Aucune introduction en bourse avant 2028
2%
$1,974,563 Vol.
$1,974,563 Vol.
<1,0 T
5%
1,0 T$-1,5 T$
8%
1,5T-2,0T
26%
2,0 T$-2,5 T$
29%
2,5 T$ – 3,0 T$
21%
3,0 T$-3,5 T$
10%
3,5 T$+
3%
Aucune introduction en bourse avant 2028
2%
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 25, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders' closely matched sentiment, with 29% implied probability for a 2.0T-2.5T SpaceX IPO closing market cap followed by 25.5% for 1.5T-2.0T, stems from the company's April 1 confidential S-1 filing targeting over $1.75 trillion amid explosive Starlink satellite broadband growth and Starship megarocket milestones. Starship Version 3's May 12 debut from a new launch pad, coupled with an imminent Flight 12 test around May 19 and plans for global spaceports, bolsters competitive dominance in reusable orbital launches versus rivals like Rocket Lab. Brookfield's $2 billion pre-IPO investment signals institutional confidence, though final pricing hinges on the June 8 roadshow and market conditions, keeping higher brackets like 3.0T+ below 12% amid execution risks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes