Recent regulatory filings and credible reporting on SpaceX’s confidential IPO prospectus have positioned a closing market capitalization above $2 trillion as the dominant outcome, with traders citing the company’s private-market trajectory from $800 billion in late 2025 to $1.75 trillion this spring. Strong momentum stems from confirmed plans for a June 2026 listing that could raise up to $75 billion, fueled by Starship reusability milestones, Starlink’s expanding satellite broadband subscriber base, and integration with AI data-center ambitions. Upcoming catalysts include the expected public S-1 filing within days and the June roadshow, which could lock in pricing near the upper end of recent secondary valuations while any delays or governance concerns around dual-class shares remain secondary risks to the current trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2,0 T+ 66%
1,8 T$–2,0 T$ 11%
1,6 T$–1,8 T$ 8.2%
1,4 T$–1,6 T$ 5.3%
$958,147 Vol.
$958,147 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
Pas d’introduction en bourse avant 2028
1%
<1,0 T
4%
1,0 T$–1,2 T$
2%
1,2 T$–1,4 T$
3%
1,4 T$–1,6 T$
5%
1,6 T$–1,8 T$
8%
1,8 T$–2,0 T$
11%
2,0 T+
66%
2,0 T+ 66%
1,8 T$–2,0 T$ 11%
1,6 T$–1,8 T$ 8.2%
1,4 T$–1,6 T$ 5.3%
$958,147 Vol.
$958,147 Vol.
31 déc. 2027
Pas d’introduction en bourse avant 2028
$193,475 Vol.
1%
<1,0 T
$77,392 Vol.
4%
1,0 T$–1,2 T$
$54,418 Vol.
2%
1,2 T$–1,4 T$
$71,750 Vol.
3%
1,4 T$–1,6 T$
$116,472 Vol.
5%
1,6 T$–1,8 T$
$119,527 Vol.
8%
1,8 T$–2,0 T$
$106,777 Vol.
11%
2,0 T+
$218,335 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent regulatory filings and credible reporting on SpaceX’s confidential IPO prospectus have positioned a closing market capitalization above $2 trillion as the dominant outcome, with traders citing the company’s private-market trajectory from $800 billion in late 2025 to $1.75 trillion this spring. Strong momentum stems from confirmed plans for a June 2026 listing that could raise up to $75 billion, fueled by Starship reusability milestones, Starlink’s expanding satellite broadband subscriber base, and integration with AI data-center ambitions. Upcoming catalysts include the expected public S-1 filing within days and the June roadshow, which could lock in pricing near the upper end of recent secondary valuations while any delays or governance concerns around dual-class shares remain secondary risks to the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Marché ouvert : Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ET
Volume
$958,147Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Recent regulatory filings and credible reporting on SpaceX’s confidential IPO prospectus have positioned a closing market capitalization above $2 trillion as the dominant outcome, with traders citing the company’s private-market trajectory from $800 billion in late 2025 to $1.75 trillion this spring. Strong momentum stems from confirmed plans for a June 2026 listing that could raise up to $75 billion, fueled by Starship reusability milestones, Starlink’s expanding satellite broadband subscriber base, and integration with AI data-center ambitions. Upcoming catalysts include the expected public S-1 filing within days and the June roadshow, which could lock in pricing near the upper end of recent secondary valuations while any delays or governance concerns around dual-class shares remain secondary risks to the current trader consensus.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$958,147Date de fin
31 déc. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 23, 2026, 1:58 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent regulatory filings and credible reporting on SpaceX’s confidential IPO prospectus have positioned a closing market capitalization above $2 trillion as the dominant outcome, with traders citing the company’s private-market trajectory from $800 billion in late 2025 to $1.75 trillion this spring. Strong momentum stems from confirmed plans for a June 2026 listing that could raise up to $75 billion, fueled by Starship reusability milestones, Starlink’s expanding satellite broadband subscriber base, and integration with AI data-center ambitions. Upcoming catalysts include the expected public S-1 filing within days and the June roadshow, which could lock in pricing near the upper end of recent secondary valuations while any delays or governance concerns around dual-class shares remain secondary risks to the current trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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