USGS data confirms no magnitude 7.0 or greater earthquakes worldwide since the M7.4 event 100 km east-northeast of Miyako, Japan, on April 20, 2026—now over three weeks ago—marking five such quakes year-to-date, aligning with the long-term global average of about 15 annually along active plate boundaries like subduction zones. This relative seismic quiet underscores the quasi-random, Poisson-distributed nature of major earthquakes, where short-term forecasting remains impossible despite monitoring tectonic stress via seismic networks. Trader consensus weighs historical frequency against the elapsed time, with resolution hinging on official USGS moment magnitude (Mw) catalogs; continuous real-time feeds and monthly significant earthquake lists provide key updates, potentially shifting sentiment if swarms emerge in high-risk regions like the Pacific Ring of Fire.