Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate a daytime high near 22°C under partly cloudy skies, with model consensus from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and international ensembles pointing to modest warming from southerly air advection and limited cloud cover reducing solar heating. This positioning keeps 22°C as the narrow market leader, though slight variations in wind speed, humidity, and exact timing of any afternoon showers create tight clustering around 21–23°C. Historical May averages hover near 18–20°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth driven by a transient ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh the latest hourly model updates, which could shift probabilities if overnight observations show faster cooling or enhanced mixing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Moscow on May 16?
22°C 34.4%
21°C 29%
23°C or higher 27.7%
20°C 14%
$15,900 Vol.
$15,900 Vol.
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
14%
21°C
29%
22°C
34%
23°C or higher
28%
22°C 34.4%
21°C 29%
23°C or higher 27.7%
20°C 14%
$15,900 Vol.
$15,900 Vol.
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
14%
21°C
29%
22°C
34%
23°C or higher
28%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Moscow indicate a daytime high near 22°C under partly cloudy skies, with model consensus from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and international ensembles pointing to modest warming from southerly air advection and limited cloud cover reducing solar heating. This positioning keeps 22°C as the narrow market leader, though slight variations in wind speed, humidity, and exact timing of any afternoon showers create tight clustering around 21–23°C. Historical May averages hover near 18–20°C, so current conditions reflect above-normal warmth driven by a transient ridge of high pressure. Traders weigh the latest hourly model updates, which could shift probabilities if overnight observations show faster cooling or enhanced mixing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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