Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on May 16 near 26-28°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, fueling trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. This reflects yesterday's observed high exceeding 26°C—resolving the prior market at 100%—and a week-long warming trend from mid-20s°C to recent peaks near 30°C, driven by suppressed rainfall, enhanced spring solar insolation, and strong diurnal heating. Exactly 25°C trades at 21.5%, capturing model spread and historical May averages of 23-25°C at the official station; uncertainties include potential afternoon cloud buildup. Watch KMA's hourly updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 16?
26°C or higher 66%
25°C 22%
24°C 9%
23°C 2.4%
NOUVEAU
$63,670 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$63,670 Vol.
16 mai 2026
16°C ou moins
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
2%
24°C
9%
25°C
22%
26°C or higher
66%
26°C or higher 66%
25°C 22%
24°C 9%
23°C 2.4%
NOUVEAU
$63,670 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$63,670 Vol.
16 mai 2026
16°C ou moins
$5,793 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,825 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,737 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$4,405 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$6,106 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$9,310 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$9,067 Vol.
1%
23°C
$7,485 Vol.
2%
24°C
$4,650 Vol.
9%
25°C
$3,732 Vol.
22%
26°C or higher
$8,573 Vol.
66%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on May 16 near 26-28°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, fueling trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. This reflects yesterday's observed high exceeding 26°C—resolving the prior market at 100%—and a week-long warming trend from mid-20s°C to recent peaks near 30°C, driven by suppressed rainfall, enhanced spring solar insolation, and strong diurnal heating. Exactly 25°C trades at 21.5%, capturing model spread and historical May averages of 23-25°C at the official station; uncertainties include potential afternoon cloud buildup. Watch KMA's hourly updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$63,670Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on May 16 near 26-28°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, fueling trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. This reflects yesterday's observed high exceeding 26°C—resolving the prior market at 100%—and a week-long warming trend from mid-20s°C to recent peaks near 30°C, driven by suppressed rainfall, enhanced spring solar insolation, and strong diurnal heating. Exactly 25°C trades at 21.5%, capturing model spread and historical May averages of 23-25°C at the official station; uncertainties include potential afternoon cloud buildup. Watch KMA's hourly updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$63,670Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecasts project Seoul's highest temperature on May 16 near 26-28°C under a persistent high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies, light southerly winds, and minimal precipitation risk, fueling trader consensus at 64.5% implied probability for 26°C or higher. This reflects yesterday's observed high exceeding 26°C—resolving the prior market at 100%—and a week-long warming trend from mid-20s°C to recent peaks near 30°C, driven by suppressed rainfall, enhanced spring solar insolation, and strong diurnal heating. Exactly 25°C trades at 21.5%, capturing model spread and historical May averages of 23-25°C at the official station; uncertainties include potential afternoon cloud buildup. Watch KMA's hourly updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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