Recent European forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF ensemble show Paris overnight lows clustering near 9–11°C on May 19, driven by a lingering cool maritime air mass and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Light northerly winds and scattered showers further suppress minimum readings below the May climatological average of 9–10°C at Paris-Le Bourget, the resolution station. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 8–11°C buckets reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing 8°C and thicker clouds or stronger mixing keeping readings at 10–11°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Paris le 19 mai ?
La température la plus basse à Paris le 19 mai ?
10°C 24%
11°C 19%
9°C 15%
12°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 mai 2026
5°C ou moins
<1%
6°C
6%
7°C
5%
8°C
5%
9°C
15%
10°C
24%
11°C
19%
12°C
9%
13°C
5%
14°C
5%
15°C ou plus
1%
10°C 24%
11°C 19%
9°C 15%
12°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
19 mai 2026
5°C ou moins
$10 Vol.
<1%
6°C
$42 Vol.
6%
7°C
$20 Vol.
5%
8°C
$0 Vol.
5%
9°C
$0 Vol.
15%
10°C
$6 Vol.
24%
11°C
$0 Vol.
19%
12°C
$0 Vol.
9%
13°C
$9 Vol.
5%
14°C
$10 Vol.
5%
15°C ou plus
$91 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF ensemble show Paris overnight lows clustering near 9–11°C on May 19, driven by a lingering cool maritime air mass and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Light northerly winds and scattered showers further suppress minimum readings below the May climatological average of 9–10°C at Paris-Le Bourget, the resolution station. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 8–11°C buckets reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing 8°C and thicker clouds or stronger mixing keeping readings at 10–11°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$189Date de fin
19 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent European forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF ensemble show Paris overnight lows clustering near 9–11°C on May 19, driven by a lingering cool maritime air mass and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Light northerly winds and scattered showers further suppress minimum readings below the May climatological average of 9–10°C at Paris-Le Bourget, the resolution station. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 8–11°C buckets reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing 8°C and thicker clouds or stronger mixing keeping readings at 10–11°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$189Date de fin
19 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBRecent European forecast models from Météo-France and the ECMWF ensemble show Paris overnight lows clustering near 9–11°C on May 19, driven by a lingering cool maritime air mass and variable cloud cover that limits radiational cooling. Light northerly winds and scattered showers further suppress minimum readings below the May climatological average of 9–10°C at Paris-Le Bourget, the resolution station. Trader consensus across the tightly bunched 8–11°C buckets reflects genuine ensemble uncertainty, with clearer skies potentially allowing 8°C and thicker clouds or stronger mixing keeping readings at 10–11°C. Updated model runs and surface observations over the next 48 hours will refine the exact threshold.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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