South African Weather Service model ensembles currently project a daytime maximum near 20°C for Cape Town on May 18 under typical autumn southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, with light to moderate winds limiting rapid warming. This places the market’s leading 20°C and 21°C outcomes in near parity because afternoon cloud cover variability—common in the post-frontal regime—can suppress solar heating by 1–2°C or allow clearer skies to push peaks slightly higher. Historical May maxima at Cape Town International Airport average 17–20°C, providing context for the narrow 19–22°C spread in trader-implied odds. Final resolution hinges on intraday observations from official stations, with any unexpected clearing or strengthening onshore breeze able to shift the exact threshold within the 48-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée au Cap le 18 mai ?
La température la plus élevée au Cap le 18 mai ?
21°C 28%
20°C 22%
22°C 16%
19°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
15°C ou moins
<1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
15%
20°C
22%
21°C
28%
22°C
16%
23°C
7%
24°C
5%
25°C ou plus
1%
21°C 28%
20°C 22%
22°C 16%
19°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
15°C ou moins
$120 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$20 Vol.
2%
17°C
$5 Vol.
2%
18°C
$0 Vol.
8%
19°C
$0 Vol.
15%
20°C
$0 Vol.
22%
21°C
$0 Vol.
28%
22°C
$0 Vol.
16%
23°C
$2 Vol.
7%
24°C
$53 Vol.
5%
25°C ou plus
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.South African Weather Service model ensembles currently project a daytime maximum near 20°C for Cape Town on May 18 under typical autumn southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, with light to moderate winds limiting rapid warming. This places the market’s leading 20°C and 21°C outcomes in near parity because afternoon cloud cover variability—common in the post-frontal regime—can suppress solar heating by 1–2°C or allow clearer skies to push peaks slightly higher. Historical May maxima at Cape Town International Airport average 17–20°C, providing context for the narrow 19–22°C spread in trader-implied odds. Final resolution hinges on intraday observations from official stations, with any unexpected clearing or strengthening onshore breeze able to shift the exact threshold within the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$220Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.South African Weather Service model ensembles currently project a daytime maximum near 20°C for Cape Town on May 18 under typical autumn southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, with light to moderate winds limiting rapid warming. This places the market’s leading 20°C and 21°C outcomes in near parity because afternoon cloud cover variability—common in the post-frontal regime—can suppress solar heating by 1–2°C or allow clearer skies to push peaks slightly higher. Historical May maxima at Cape Town International Airport average 17–20°C, providing context for the narrow 19–22°C spread in trader-implied odds. Final resolution hinges on intraday observations from official stations, with any unexpected clearing or strengthening onshore breeze able to shift the exact threshold within the 48-hour window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$220Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTSouth African Weather Service model ensembles currently project a daytime maximum near 20°C for Cape Town on May 18 under typical autumn southwesterly flow from the Atlantic, with light to moderate winds limiting rapid warming. This places the market’s leading 20°C and 21°C outcomes in near parity because afternoon cloud cover variability—common in the post-frontal regime—can suppress solar heating by 1–2°C or allow clearer skies to push peaks slightly higher. Historical May maxima at Cape Town International Airport average 17–20°C, providing context for the narrow 19–22°C spread in trader-implied odds. Final resolution hinges on intraday observations from official stations, with any unexpected clearing or strengthening onshore breeze able to shift the exact threshold within the 48-hour window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes