Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C (21.5–19.5% implied probabilities), mirroring the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime high of 20–22°C for Cape Town on May 16. This outlook follows the clearance of disruptive cold fronts and gale-force winds that battered the Western Cape through May 12, bringing heavy rainfall, flooding, and below-average temperatures; residual cool air masses have moderated, with a developing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumnal warming. Climatological May highs average 22°C, but model spread of 1–2°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary layer mixing and cloud cover. SAWS updates tomorrow may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on May 16?
21°C 40%
20°C 27%
22°C 21%
19°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 mai 2026
16°C or below
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
9%
20°C
27%
21°C
40%
22°C
21%
23°C
5%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
21°C 40%
20°C 27%
22°C 21%
19°C 9%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 mai 2026
16°C or below
$45 Vol.
1%
17°C
$195 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$16 Vol.
2%
19°C
$122 Vol.
9%
20°C
$131 Vol.
27%
21°C
$106 Vol.
40%
22°C
$179 Vol.
21%
23°C
$81 Vol.
5%
24°C
$81 Vol.
1%
25°C
$66 Vol.
1%
26°C or higher
$62 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C (21.5–19.5% implied probabilities), mirroring the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime high of 20–22°C for Cape Town on May 16. This outlook follows the clearance of disruptive cold fronts and gale-force winds that battered the Western Cape through May 12, bringing heavy rainfall, flooding, and below-average temperatures; residual cool air masses have moderated, with a developing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumnal warming. Climatological May highs average 22°C, but model spread of 1–2°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary layer mixing and cloud cover. SAWS updates tomorrow may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ET
Volume
$1,079Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C (21.5–19.5% implied probabilities), mirroring the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime high of 20–22°C for Cape Town on May 16. This outlook follows the clearance of disruptive cold fronts and gale-force winds that battered the Western Cape through May 12, bringing heavy rainfall, flooding, and below-average temperatures; residual cool air masses have moderated, with a developing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumnal warming. Climatological May highs average 22°C, but model spread of 1–2°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary layer mixing and cloud cover. SAWS updates tomorrow may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Cape Town International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$1,079Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:45 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 21–23°C (21.5–19.5% implied probabilities), mirroring the latest South African Weather Service (SAWS) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS, which project a daytime high of 20–22°C for Cape Town on May 16. This outlook follows the clearance of disruptive cold fronts and gale-force winds that battered the Western Cape through May 12, bringing heavy rainfall, flooding, and below-average temperatures; residual cool air masses have moderated, with a developing high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies, light southerly winds, and typical autumnal warming. Climatological May highs average 22°C, but model spread of 1–2°C reflects uncertainty in exact boundary layer mixing and cloud cover. SAWS updates tomorrow may sharpen resolution as the event nears.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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