Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate stable high-pressure dominance over central Anatolia, supporting a daily maximum near 20°C in Ankara on May 16. This consensus arises from moderate southwesterly flow, limited moisture advection, and seasonal solar insolation levels typical for mid-May, with no significant frontal passages or convective development expected. The 97.5% market-implied probability for 20°C reflects this strong model agreement, though slight shifts could occur if afternoon cloud cover reduces or unexpected downslope warming intensifies. Updated local station data and satellite imagery later today will provide the final verification for market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
20°C 98.0%
21°C 3.1%
22°C <1%
17°C <1%
$46,841 Vol.
$46,841 Vol.
16 mai 2026
17°C
<1%
20°C
98%
21°C
3%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 98.0%
21°C 3.1%
22°C <1%
17°C <1%
$46,841 Vol.
$46,841 Vol.
16 mai 2026
17°C
$3,392 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$4,814 Vol.
98%
21°C
$4,715 Vol.
3%
22°C
$6,317 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,228 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$4,119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate stable high-pressure dominance over central Anatolia, supporting a daily maximum near 20°C in Ankara on May 16. This consensus arises from moderate southwesterly flow, limited moisture advection, and seasonal solar insolation levels typical for mid-May, with no significant frontal passages or convective development expected. The 97.5% market-implied probability for 20°C reflects this strong model agreement, though slight shifts could occur if afternoon cloud cover reduces or unexpected downslope warming intensifies. Updated local station data and satellite imagery later today will provide the final verification for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$46,841Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate stable high-pressure dominance over central Anatolia, supporting a daily maximum near 20°C in Ankara on May 16. This consensus arises from moderate southwesterly flow, limited moisture advection, and seasonal solar insolation levels typical for mid-May, with no significant frontal passages or convective development expected. The 97.5% market-implied probability for 20°C reflects this strong model agreement, though slight shifts could occur if afternoon cloud cover reduces or unexpected downslope warming intensifies. Updated local station data and satellite imagery later today will provide the final verification for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$46,841Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Fenêtre de contestation
Final
Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecast models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and the Turkish State Meteorological Service indicate stable high-pressure dominance over central Anatolia, supporting a daily maximum near 20°C in Ankara on May 16. This consensus arises from moderate southwesterly flow, limited moisture advection, and seasonal solar insolation levels typical for mid-May, with no significant frontal passages or convective development expected. The 97.5% market-implied probability for 20°C reflects this strong model agreement, though slight shifts could occur if afternoon cloud cover reduces or unexpected downslope warming intensifies. Updated local station data and satellite imagery later today will provide the final verification for market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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