Current ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF project a daytime maximum near 17°C in Helsinki on May 16, driven by mild southerly advection under a high-pressure ridge and moderate solar insolation amid variable cloud cover. This places the market-implied odds for 17°C or 18°C well above the 15–16°C mid-May climatological average, reflecting a modest +1–2°C anomaly observed in early spring 2026. Minor model spread arises from uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and frontal timing, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on whether clearer skies allow greater radiative warming or increased moisture limits it. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 16?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 16?
17°C 36%
18°C 30%
16°C 25.0%
19°C 8%
$22,424 Vol.
$22,424 Vol.
16 mai 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
25%
17°C
36%
18°C
30%
19°C
8%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
17°C 36%
18°C 30%
16°C 25.0%
19°C 8%
$22,424 Vol.
$22,424 Vol.
16 mai 2026
14°C or below
$3,360 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,868 Vol.
3%
16°C
$1,844 Vol.
25%
17°C
$2,609 Vol.
36%
18°C
$2,297 Vol.
30%
19°C
$2,318 Vol.
8%
20°C
$1,977 Vol.
1%
21°C
$2,083 Vol.
1%
22°C
$1,672 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,051 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$1,356 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF project a daytime maximum near 17°C in Helsinki on May 16, driven by mild southerly advection under a high-pressure ridge and moderate solar insolation amid variable cloud cover. This places the market-implied odds for 17°C or 18°C well above the 15–16°C mid-May climatological average, reflecting a modest +1–2°C anomaly observed in early spring 2026. Minor model spread arises from uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and frontal timing, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on whether clearer skies allow greater radiative warming or increased moisture limits it. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$22,424Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF project a daytime maximum near 17°C in Helsinki on May 16, driven by mild southerly advection under a high-pressure ridge and moderate solar insolation amid variable cloud cover. This places the market-implied odds for 17°C or 18°C well above the 15–16°C mid-May climatological average, reflecting a modest +1–2°C anomaly observed in early spring 2026. Minor model spread arises from uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and frontal timing, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on whether clearer skies allow greater radiative warming or increased moisture limits it. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,424Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF project a daytime maximum near 17°C in Helsinki on May 16, driven by mild southerly advection under a high-pressure ridge and moderate solar insolation amid variable cloud cover. This places the market-implied odds for 17°C or 18°C well above the 15–16°C mid-May climatological average, reflecting a modest +1–2°C anomaly observed in early spring 2026. Minor model spread arises from uncertainties in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and frontal timing, which could shift the peak by 1–2°C depending on whether clearer skies allow greater radiative warming or increased moisture limits it. Resolution will hinge on the official 24-hour maximum recorded at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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