Trader consensus points to a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Guangzhou on May 18 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models that show a weakening subtropical ridge allowing increased moisture from the South China Sea to moderate daytime heating. Partly cloudy skies and light variable winds are expected to cap peaks below recent warmer analogs, while any convective showers could trim the maximum by 1–2°C. This spread aligns with May climatology of 29–30°C averages but incorporates short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and humidity buildup over the next 48 hours, with fresh model guidance from the National Meteorological Center likely to narrow the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 18 mai ?
La température la plus élevée à Guangzhou le 18 mai ?
28°C 30%
27°C 26%
29°C 17%
30°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
22°C ou moins
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
6%
25°C
5%
26°C
14%
27°C
26%
28°C
30%
29°C
17%
30°C
16%
31°C
2%
32°C ou plus
1%
28°C 30%
27°C 26%
29°C 17%
30°C 16%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 mai 2026
22°C ou moins
$754 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$76 Vol.
1%
24°C
$100 Vol.
6%
25°C
$0 Vol.
5%
26°C
$0 Vol.
14%
27°C
$0 Vol.
26%
28°C
$0 Vol.
30%
29°C
$0 Vol.
17%
30°C
$1 Vol.
16%
31°C
$17 Vol.
2%
32°C ou plus
$18 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus points to a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Guangzhou on May 18 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models that show a weakening subtropical ridge allowing increased moisture from the South China Sea to moderate daytime heating. Partly cloudy skies and light variable winds are expected to cap peaks below recent warmer analogs, while any convective showers could trim the maximum by 1–2°C. This spread aligns with May climatology of 29–30°C averages but incorporates short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and humidity buildup over the next 48 hours, with fresh model guidance from the National Meteorological Center likely to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$966Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus points to a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Guangzhou on May 18 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models that show a weakening subtropical ridge allowing increased moisture from the South China Sea to moderate daytime heating. Partly cloudy skies and light variable winds are expected to cap peaks below recent warmer analogs, while any convective showers could trim the maximum by 1–2°C. This spread aligns with May climatology of 29–30°C averages but incorporates short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and humidity buildup over the next 48 hours, with fresh model guidance from the National Meteorological Center likely to narrow the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$966Date de fin
18 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGTrader consensus points to a highest temperature near 27–28°C in Guangzhou on May 18 as the most probable outcomes, reflecting the latest ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS models that show a weakening subtropical ridge allowing increased moisture from the South China Sea to moderate daytime heating. Partly cloudy skies and light variable winds are expected to cap peaks below recent warmer analogs, while any convective showers could trim the maximum by 1–2°C. This spread aligns with May climatology of 29–30°C averages but incorporates short-range uncertainty in cloud cover and humidity buildup over the next 48 hours, with fresh model guidance from the National Meteorological Center likely to narrow the range before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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