Current forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration indicate mild spring conditions over Shanghai, with southerly flow suppressing nocturnal cooling and anchoring the May 20 overnight minimum near 20–23 °C, which aligns with the market’s leading probabilities clustered around those values. Historical May lows average 16–17 °C, yet persistent above-normal temperatures and limited cold-air intrusions have shifted trader consensus toward warmer outcomes. Key variables include cloud-cover extent, wind speed, and the precise timing of any frontal passage, all of which introduce model spread reflected in the broad probability distribution. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will provide clearer resolution thresholds ahead of the May 20 observation period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus basse à Shanghai le 20 mai ?
La température la plus basse à Shanghai le 20 mai ?
22 °C 31%
21°C 20%
23°C 13%
20°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 mai 2026
15°C ou moins
4%
16°C
4%
17°C
3%
18°C
4%
19°C
9%
20°C
14%
21°C
20%
22 °C
26%
23°C
19%
24°C
5%
25°C ou plus
3%
22 °C 31%
21°C 20%
23°C 13%
20°C 11%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 mai 2026
15°C ou moins
$28 Vol.
4%
16°C
$50 Vol.
4%
17°C
$20 Vol.
3%
18°C
$0 Vol.
4%
19°C
$6 Vol.
9%
20°C
$17 Vol.
14%
21°C
$6 Vol.
20%
22 °C
$11 Vol.
26%
23°C
$6 Vol.
19%
24°C
$0 Vol.
5%
25°C ou plus
$58 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration indicate mild spring conditions over Shanghai, with southerly flow suppressing nocturnal cooling and anchoring the May 20 overnight minimum near 20–23 °C, which aligns with the market’s leading probabilities clustered around those values. Historical May lows average 16–17 °C, yet persistent above-normal temperatures and limited cold-air intrusions have shifted trader consensus toward warmer outcomes. Key variables include cloud-cover extent, wind speed, and the precise timing of any frontal passage, all of which introduce model spread reflected in the broad probability distribution. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will provide clearer resolution thresholds ahead of the May 20 observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$202Date de fin
20 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration indicate mild spring conditions over Shanghai, with southerly flow suppressing nocturnal cooling and anchoring the May 20 overnight minimum near 20–23 °C, which aligns with the market’s leading probabilities clustered around those values. Historical May lows average 16–17 °C, yet persistent above-normal temperatures and limited cold-air intrusions have shifted trader consensus toward warmer outcomes. Key variables include cloud-cover extent, wind speed, and the precise timing of any frontal passage, all of which introduce model spread reflected in the broad probability distribution. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will provide clearer resolution thresholds ahead of the May 20 observation period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$202Date de fin
20 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDCurrent forecast ensembles from the China Meteorological Administration indicate mild spring conditions over Shanghai, with southerly flow suppressing nocturnal cooling and anchoring the May 20 overnight minimum near 20–23 °C, which aligns with the market’s leading probabilities clustered around those values. Historical May lows average 16–17 °C, yet persistent above-normal temperatures and limited cold-air intrusions have shifted trader consensus toward warmer outcomes. Key variables include cloud-cover extent, wind speed, and the precise timing of any frontal passage, all of which introduce model spread reflected in the broad probability distribution. Updated GFS and ECMWF runs over the next 48 hours will provide clearer resolution thresholds ahead of the May 20 observation period.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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