National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport forecasts a high temperature of 88°F on May 16, driving trader consensus toward the leading 88-89°F outcome at 44.5% implied probability, closely followed by 90-91°F at 31%. This positioning stems from GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converging on upper-80s peaks under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly winds and ample sunshine early in the day. Expected sea-breeze development by early afternoon could trigger isolated showers or thunderstorms, capping heating as seen in recent days' highs near 89°F. May climatological normals hover at 86°F, with inherent uncertainty in convection timing; final 18Z model runs and evening NWS updates today may refine odds before observations resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Miami on May 16?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 16?
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 4.6%
NOUVEAU
$16,677 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,677 Vol.
16 mai 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
45%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
88-89°F 45%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 4.6%
NOUVEAU
$16,677 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$16,677 Vol.
16 mai 2026
79°F or below
$840 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$1,099 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$2,598 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$2,136 Vol.
3%
86-87°F
$2,231 Vol.
17%
88-89°F
$1,861 Vol.
45%
90-91°F
$1,810 Vol.
31%
92-93°F
$1,655 Vol.
5%
94-95°F
$538 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$453 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$1,462 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport forecasts a high temperature of 88°F on May 16, driving trader consensus toward the leading 88-89°F outcome at 44.5% implied probability, closely followed by 90-91°F at 31%. This positioning stems from GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converging on upper-80s peaks under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly winds and ample sunshine early in the day. Expected sea-breeze development by early afternoon could trigger isolated showers or thunderstorms, capping heating as seen in recent days' highs near 89°F. May climatological normals hover at 86°F, with inherent uncertainty in convection timing; final 18Z model runs and evening NWS updates today may refine odds before observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$16,677Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport forecasts a high temperature of 88°F on May 16, driving trader consensus toward the leading 88-89°F outcome at 44.5% implied probability, closely followed by 90-91°F at 31%. This positioning stems from GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converging on upper-80s peaks under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly winds and ample sunshine early in the day. Expected sea-breeze development by early afternoon could trigger isolated showers or thunderstorms, capping heating as seen in recent days' highs near 89°F. May climatological normals hover at 86°F, with inherent uncertainty in convection timing; final 18Z model runs and evening NWS updates today may refine odds before observations resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$16,677Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance for Miami International Airport forecasts a high temperature of 88°F on May 16, driving trader consensus toward the leading 88-89°F outcome at 44.5% implied probability, closely followed by 90-91°F at 31%. This positioning stems from GFS and ECMWF model ensembles converging on upper-80s peaks under a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting light southerly winds and ample sunshine early in the day. Expected sea-breeze development by early afternoon could trigger isolated showers or thunderstorms, capping heating as seen in recent days' highs near 89°F. May climatological normals hover at 86°F, with inherent uncertainty in convection timing; final 18Z model runs and evening NWS updates today may refine odds before observations resolve the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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