The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast pins Taipei's highest temperature on May 15 at 28°C, driving trader consensus to a 98.5% implied probability amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers from the Meiyu front, which caps solar heating through persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Current observations at Songshan Airport station show morning temperatures in the low 20s°C, aligning with model consensus for peak warming around midday before evening cooling. Historical mid-May averages hover near 28–29°C, but moist southerly flows limit intensification potential. Unexpected prolonged sunshine breaks could boost insolation and challenge this to 29°C or higher, though low-level wind shear and rainfall odds favor stability; monitor hourly CWA updates for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Taipei on May 15?
Highest temperature in Taipei on May 15?
28°C 99.5%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C or higher <1%
$57,544 Vol.
$57,544 Vol.
15 mai 2026
28°C
100%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
28°C 99.5%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
31°C or higher <1%
$57,544 Vol.
$57,544 Vol.
15 mai 2026
28°C
$5,333 Vol.
100%
29°C
$5,105 Vol.
1%
30°C
$6,833 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$10,478 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast pins Taipei's highest temperature on May 15 at 28°C, driving trader consensus to a 98.5% implied probability amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers from the Meiyu front, which caps solar heating through persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Current observations at Songshan Airport station show morning temperatures in the low 20s°C, aligning with model consensus for peak warming around midday before evening cooling. Historical mid-May averages hover near 28–29°C, but moist southerly flows limit intensification potential. Unexpected prolonged sunshine breaks could boost insolation and challenge this to 29°C or higher, though low-level wind shear and rainfall odds favor stability; monitor hourly CWA updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$57,544Date de fin
15 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast pins Taipei's highest temperature on May 15 at 28°C, driving trader consensus to a 98.5% implied probability amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers from the Meiyu front, which caps solar heating through persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Current observations at Songshan Airport station show morning temperatures in the low 20s°C, aligning with model consensus for peak warming around midday before evening cooling. Historical mid-May averages hover near 28–29°C, but moist southerly flows limit intensification potential. Unexpected prolonged sunshine breaks could boost insolation and challenge this to 29°C or higher, though low-level wind shear and rainfall odds favor stability; monitor hourly CWA updates for shifts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$57,544Date de fin
15 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 13, 2026, 12:15 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast pins Taipei's highest temperature on May 15 at 28°C, driving trader consensus to a 98.5% implied probability amid mostly cloudy skies and scattered showers from the Meiyu front, which caps solar heating through persistent cloud cover and high humidity. Current observations at Songshan Airport station show morning temperatures in the low 20s°C, aligning with model consensus for peak warming around midday before evening cooling. Historical mid-May averages hover near 28–29°C, but moist southerly flows limit intensification potential. Unexpected prolonged sunshine breaks could boost insolation and challenge this to 29°C or higher, though low-level wind shear and rainfall odds favor stability; monitor hourly CWA updates for shifts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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