Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28°C (31%) and 29°C (28%) for Wuhan's May 15 high temperature at Tianhe International Airport, driven by split forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) projecting 29°C under overcast skies and global models like ECMWF favoring 28°C with partly cloudy conditions and 40-66% shower chances. Recent actuals—28°C on May 10, peaking near 31°C on May 11—have moderated amid persistent high humidity near 80% and cloud cover suppressing insolation, limiting convective heating. May climatology averages 28°C highs, but diel timing of any precipitation could tip the peak by 1°C; official observations finalize resolution post-midnight. New CMA updates expected today may sharpen trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 15?
29°C 34%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
27°C 13%
26°C or below
2%
27°C
13%
28°C
31%
29°C
34%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
29°C 34%
28°C 31%
30°C 15%
27°C 13%
26°C or below
2%
27°C
13%
28°C
31%
29°C
34%
30°C
15%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 1:11 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 28°C (31%) and 29°C (28%) for Wuhan's May 15 high temperature at Tianhe International Airport, driven by split forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) projecting 29°C under overcast skies and global models like ECMWF favoring 28°C with partly cloudy conditions and 40-66% shower chances. Recent actuals—28°C on May 10, peaking near 31°C on May 11—have moderated amid persistent high humidity near 80% and cloud cover suppressing insolation, limiting convective heating. May climatology averages 28°C highs, but diel timing of any precipitation could tip the peak by 1°C; official observations finalize resolution post-midnight. New CMA updates expected today may sharpen trader consensus.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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