Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts a high of 30°C in Seoul on May 15 under persistent clear skies and 0% precipitation chance, fueling trader consensus for 26°C or higher at 61.5% implied probability amid an early-season heatwave 5–10°C above typical May averages of 23°C. Recent observations show May 14 peaking near 28°C with light winds and southerly warm air advection enhancing solar heating, while model ensembles like those from KMA and global systems align on minimal cloud interference. Though short-range forecasts carry low uncertainty this close to resolution, minor shifts in boundary layer mixing could cap peaks at 25°C (28.5% odds), with official hourly data from KMA stations providing final confirmation tomorrow.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 15?
26°C or higher 63%
25°C 29%
24°C 9%
23°C 1.4%
$88,405 Vol.
$88,405 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
29%
26°C or higher
63%
26°C or higher 63%
25°C 29%
24°C 9%
23°C 1.4%
$88,405 Vol.
$88,405 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
9%
25°C
29%
26°C or higher
63%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts a high of 30°C in Seoul on May 15 under persistent clear skies and 0% precipitation chance, fueling trader consensus for 26°C or higher at 61.5% implied probability amid an early-season heatwave 5–10°C above typical May averages of 23°C. Recent observations show May 14 peaking near 28°C with light winds and southerly warm air advection enhancing solar heating, while model ensembles like those from KMA and global systems align on minimal cloud interference. Though short-range forecasts carry low uncertainty this close to resolution, minor shifts in boundary layer mixing could cap peaks at 25°C (28.5% odds), with official hourly data from KMA stations providing final confirmation tomorrow.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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