Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service New York guidance from this morning's forecast discussion, implying highs near 77°F in Central Park under building high pressure bringing sunny skies, light southerly winds, and enhanced boundary layer heating from full solar insolation. The 78-79°F (34.5%) edge over 76-77°F (32.5%) stems from GFS and ECMWF model runs showing slight spread in afternoon mixing depths and low-level warm air advection, with upper 70s as the ensemble mean amid above-normal temps (climatological May mid-month high ~70°F). Lower bins fade due to subsidence suppressing clouds and instability. Watch afternoon model updates and evening soundings for final sharpening before Saturday's resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in NYC on May 16?
Highest temperature in NYC on May 16?
76-77°F 32%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 20%
80-81°F 10.5%
NOUVEAU
$22,886 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$22,886 Vol.
16 mai 2026
65°F or below
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
5%
74-75°F
20%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
32%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
3%
84°F or higher
1%
76-77°F 32%
78-79°F 32%
74-75°F 20%
80-81°F 10.5%
NOUVEAU
$22,886 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$22,886 Vol.
16 mai 2026
65°F or below
$2,092 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$2,160 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,969 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$2,221 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$2,354 Vol.
5%
74-75°F
$1,874 Vol.
20%
76-77°F
$1,511 Vol.
32%
78-79°F
$2,539 Vol.
32%
80-81°F
$2,888 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$2,125 Vol.
3%
84°F or higher
$1,164 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service New York guidance from this morning's forecast discussion, implying highs near 77°F in Central Park under building high pressure bringing sunny skies, light southerly winds, and enhanced boundary layer heating from full solar insolation. The 78-79°F (34.5%) edge over 76-77°F (32.5%) stems from GFS and ECMWF model runs showing slight spread in afternoon mixing depths and low-level warm air advection, with upper 70s as the ensemble mean amid above-normal temps (climatological May mid-month high ~70°F). Lower bins fade due to subsidence suppressing clouds and instability. Watch afternoon model updates and evening soundings for final sharpening before Saturday's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$22,886Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service New York guidance from this morning's forecast discussion, implying highs near 77°F in Central Park under building high pressure bringing sunny skies, light southerly winds, and enhanced boundary layer heating from full solar insolation. The 78-79°F (34.5%) edge over 76-77°F (32.5%) stems from GFS and ECMWF model runs showing slight spread in afternoon mixing depths and low-level warm air advection, with upper 70s as the ensemble mean amid above-normal temps (climatological May mid-month high ~70°F). Lower bins fade due to subsidence suppressing clouds and instability. Watch afternoon model updates and evening soundings for final sharpening before Saturday's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$22,886Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service New York guidance from this morning's forecast discussion, implying highs near 77°F in Central Park under building high pressure bringing sunny skies, light southerly winds, and enhanced boundary layer heating from full solar insolation. The 78-79°F (34.5%) edge over 76-77°F (32.5%) stems from GFS and ECMWF model runs showing slight spread in afternoon mixing depths and low-level warm air advection, with upper 70s as the ensemble mean amid above-normal temps (climatological May mid-month high ~70°F). Lower bins fade due to subsidence suppressing clouds and instability. Watch afternoon model updates and evening soundings for final sharpening before Saturday's resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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