Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Munich high of 13°C at 39.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model runs showing persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a slow-moving low-pressure trough over Central Europe. Polar airflow has suppressed temperatures, with ground frost warnings through May 13 night and today's May 14 highs barely reaching 12°C amid graupel and rain, well below the mid-May climatological average of 17°C. Thick overcast limits solar heating, positioning 12°C (26.5%) and 14°C (19.0%) as next contenders. New DWD advisories and afternoon model updates could refine landfall odds for isolated clearing, but significant warming remains unlikely before resolution at Munich Airport station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on May 15?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 15?
13°C 40%
12°C 27%
14°C 20%
15°C 14%
$19,981 Vol.
$19,981 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
27%
13°C
40%
14°C
20%
15°C
14%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 40%
12°C 27%
14°C 20%
15°C 14%
$19,981 Vol.
$19,981 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
27%
13°C
40%
14°C
20%
15°C
14%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a Munich high of 13°C at 39.5% implied probability, driven by the latest Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) forecasts and ECMWF/GFS ensemble model runs showing persistent cloud cover and scattered showers from a slow-moving low-pressure trough over Central Europe. Polar airflow has suppressed temperatures, with ground frost warnings through May 13 night and today's May 14 highs barely reaching 12°C amid graupel and rain, well below the mid-May climatological average of 17°C. Thick overcast limits solar heating, positioning 12°C (26.5%) and 14°C (19.0%) as next contenders. New DWD advisories and afternoon model updates could refine landfall odds for isolated clearing, but significant warming remains unlikely before resolution at Munich Airport station.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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