Latest guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models clusters Munich's highest temperature on May 16 around 13°C, driving trader consensus with 42.5% implied probability for that outcome, followed by 14°C at 29%. A persistent deep upper-level trough over central Europe, reinforced by a North Atlantic blocking ridge, has advected cool polar maritime air into Bavaria over the past 48 hours, yielding temperature anomalies 10–15°C below the mid-May climatological normal of ~19°C. Widespread low cloud cover and 80–90% precipitation chances from embedded showers further limit diurnal heating. Recent cold front passages since May 13 suppressed prior days' highs to the low teens, solidifying this positioning. Evening model runs today could shift odds slightly ahead of resolution based on official station observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on May 16?
Highest temperature in Munich on May 16?
13°C 41%
14°C 30%
12°C 20%
15°C 7.0%
NOUVEAU
$10,478 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,478 Vol.
16 mai 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
20%
13°C
41%
14°C
30%
15°C
7%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
1%
13°C 41%
14°C 30%
12°C 20%
15°C 7.0%
NOUVEAU
$10,478 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,478 Vol.
16 mai 2026
7°C or below
$815 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$888 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$555 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$578 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$803 Vol.
2%
12°C
$1,441 Vol.
20%
13°C
$944 Vol.
41%
14°C
$780 Vol.
30%
15°C
$1,270 Vol.
7%
16°C
$1,842 Vol.
1%
17°C or higher
$591 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models clusters Munich's highest temperature on May 16 around 13°C, driving trader consensus with 42.5% implied probability for that outcome, followed by 14°C at 29%. A persistent deep upper-level trough over central Europe, reinforced by a North Atlantic blocking ridge, has advected cool polar maritime air into Bavaria over the past 48 hours, yielding temperature anomalies 10–15°C below the mid-May climatological normal of ~19°C. Widespread low cloud cover and 80–90% precipitation chances from embedded showers further limit diurnal heating. Recent cold front passages since May 13 suppressed prior days' highs to the low teens, solidifying this positioning. Evening model runs today could shift odds slightly ahead of resolution based on official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volume
$10,478Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models clusters Munich's highest temperature on May 16 around 13°C, driving trader consensus with 42.5% implied probability for that outcome, followed by 14°C at 29%. A persistent deep upper-level trough over central Europe, reinforced by a North Atlantic blocking ridge, has advected cool polar maritime air into Bavaria over the past 48 hours, yielding temperature anomalies 10–15°C below the mid-May climatological normal of ~19°C. Widespread low cloud cover and 80–90% precipitation chances from embedded showers further limit diurnal heating. Recent cold front passages since May 13 suppressed prior days' highs to the low teens, solidifying this positioning. Evening model runs today could shift odds slightly ahead of resolution based on official station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,478Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest guidance from the Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD) and ECMWF models clusters Munich's highest temperature on May 16 around 13°C, driving trader consensus with 42.5% implied probability for that outcome, followed by 14°C at 29%. A persistent deep upper-level trough over central Europe, reinforced by a North Atlantic blocking ridge, has advected cool polar maritime air into Bavaria over the past 48 hours, yielding temperature anomalies 10–15°C below the mid-May climatological normal of ~19°C. Widespread low cloud cover and 80–90% precipitation chances from embedded showers further limit diurnal heating. Recent cold front passages since May 13 suppressed prior days' highs to the low teens, solidifying this positioning. Evening model runs today could shift odds slightly ahead of resolution based on official station observations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes