Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (37.5% implied probability) and 14°C (33.0%) for London's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts pegging daytime maxima at 13–15°C amid cloudy skies and light showers. Persistent low-level cloud cover from a northerly airflow and 40–50% rain chances around midday—per Met Office hourly data—are key factors capping peak warming to late afternoon hours, when temperatures may nudge 14°C if sunny spells emerge as anticipated. Current May 14 observations at 11°C with showers underscore the unsettled pattern driven by nearby low pressure, cooler than May climatological averages near 17°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS model runs later today could shift the balance before resolution at London City Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in London on May 15?
Highest temperature in London on May 15?
13°C 37%
14°C 34%
12°C 16%
15°C 14%
$37,323 Vol.
$37,323 Vol.
8°C ou moins
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
16%
13°C
37%
14°C
34%
15°C
14%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 37%
14°C 34%
12°C 16%
15°C 14%
$37,323 Vol.
$37,323 Vol.
8°C ou moins
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
16%
13°C
37%
14°C
34%
15°C
14%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 13°C (37.5% implied probability) and 14°C (33.0%) for London's highest temperature on May 15, reflecting Met Office and BBC Weather forecasts pegging daytime maxima at 13–15°C amid cloudy skies and light showers. Persistent low-level cloud cover from a northerly airflow and 40–50% rain chances around midday—per Met Office hourly data—are key factors capping peak warming to late afternoon hours, when temperatures may nudge 14°C if sunny spells emerge as anticipated. Current May 14 observations at 11°C with showers underscore the unsettled pattern driven by nearby low pressure, cooler than May climatological averages near 17°C. Updated ECMWF and GFS model runs later today could shift the balance before resolution at London City Airport.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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