Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department show Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 16 remaining at or below 40 °C, supported by moderate westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and residual moisture that limit daytime surface heating. This positioning matches the market’s 99.6 % implied probability for 41 °C or below, consistent with typical late-spring conditions before full monsoon arrival. Official resolution will rely on IMD’s verified peak reading. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger subsidence could allow brief spikes above 42 °C, though ensemble model guidance assigns low likelihood to such outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
41°C or below 99.6%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$23,260 Vol.
$23,260 Vol.
16 mai 2026
41°C or below
100%
42°C
<1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 99.6%
42°C <1%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
$23,260 Vol.
$23,260 Vol.
16 mai 2026
41°C or below
$4,231 Vol.
100%
42°C
$2,181 Vol.
<1%
43°C
$3,004 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$1,431 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$3,681 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$3,075 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$757 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$935 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$1,813 Vol.
<1%
50°C
$776 Vol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,424 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department show Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 16 remaining at or below 40 °C, supported by moderate westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and residual moisture that limit daytime surface heating. This positioning matches the market’s 99.6 % implied probability for 41 °C or below, consistent with typical late-spring conditions before full monsoon arrival. Official resolution will rely on IMD’s verified peak reading. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger subsidence could allow brief spikes above 42 °C, though ensemble model guidance assigns low likelihood to such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volume
$23,260Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department show Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 16 remaining at or below 40 °C, supported by moderate westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and residual moisture that limit daytime surface heating. This positioning matches the market’s 99.6 % implied probability for 41 °C or below, consistent with typical late-spring conditions before full monsoon arrival. Official resolution will rely on IMD’s verified peak reading. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger subsidence could allow brief spikes above 42 °C, though ensemble model guidance assigns low likelihood to such outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$23,260Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the India Meteorological Department show Lucknow’s maximum temperature on May 16 remaining at or below 40 °C, supported by moderate westerly winds, partial cloud cover, and residual moisture that limit daytime surface heating. This positioning matches the market’s 99.6 % implied probability for 41 °C or below, consistent with typical late-spring conditions before full monsoon arrival. Official resolution will rely on IMD’s verified peak reading. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger subsidence could allow brief spikes above 42 °C, though ensemble model guidance assigns low likelihood to such outcomes.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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