Recent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model runs have narrowed expectations for Seoul’s May 17 maximum to the 24–25 °C range, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities near 25–28 percent. Clear skies and light winds are supporting modest daytime warming under a weak high-pressure ridge, while modest southerly flow and any afternoon cloud buildup introduce the primary uncertainty between a 24 °C peak and a possible 26 °C reading. Mid-May climatology places typical highs in the low-to-mid 20s, and the tight clustering around these outcomes reflects high confidence in the current 48-hour model consensus ahead of the next KMA forecast update.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Séoul le 17 mai ?
26°C or higher 36%
25°C 23%
24°C 20%
23°C 16%
$64,189 Vol.
$64,189 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
16%
24°C
20%
25°C
23%
26°C or higher
36%
26°C or higher 36%
25°C 23%
24°C 20%
23°C 16%
$64,189 Vol.
$64,189 Vol.
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
16%
24°C
20%
25°C
23%
26°C or higher
36%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance and ensemble model runs have narrowed expectations for Seoul’s May 17 maximum to the 24–25 °C range, producing closely matched market-implied probabilities near 25–28 percent. Clear skies and light winds are supporting modest daytime warming under a weak high-pressure ridge, while modest southerly flow and any afternoon cloud buildup introduce the primary uncertainty between a 24 °C peak and a possible 26 °C reading. Mid-May climatology places typical highs in the low-to-mid 20s, and the tight clustering around these outcomes reflects high confidence in the current 48-hour model consensus ahead of the next KMA forecast update.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes