The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast, released May 15, projects Chongqing's May 16 high at 22°C amid light rain and northeast winds, reflecting a passing frontal system that suppresses daytime heating through cloud cover and precipitation. However, trader consensus favors warmer outcomes—25°C or higher at 40.5% implied probability, 24°C at 27%—driven by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS hinting at 24-25°C peaks if showers ease, consistent with recent daily highs near 24°C on May 15 and historical May averages around 27°C. High humidity near 80% amplifies perceived warmth, while model spread underscores uncertainty; watch afternoon updates from CMA for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 16?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 16?
25°C or higher 39%
24°C 30%
23°C 23%
22°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 mai 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
8%
23°C
23%
24°C
30%
25°C or higher
39%
25°C or higher 39%
24°C 30%
23°C 23%
22°C 8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
16 mai 2026
15°C or below
$736 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$2,346 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$2,130 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$1,451 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$190 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$623 Vol.
1%
21°C
$584 Vol.
3%
22°C
$432 Vol.
8%
23°C
$451 Vol.
23%
24°C
$222 Vol.
30%
25°C or higher
$649 Vol.
39%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast, released May 15, projects Chongqing's May 16 high at 22°C amid light rain and northeast winds, reflecting a passing frontal system that suppresses daytime heating through cloud cover and precipitation. However, trader consensus favors warmer outcomes—25°C or higher at 40.5% implied probability, 24°C at 27%—driven by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS hinting at 24-25°C peaks if showers ease, consistent with recent daily highs near 24°C on May 15 and historical May averages around 27°C. High humidity near 80% amplifies perceived warmth, while model spread underscores uncertainty; watch afternoon updates from CMA for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ET
Volume
$9,807Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast, released May 15, projects Chongqing's May 16 high at 22°C amid light rain and northeast winds, reflecting a passing frontal system that suppresses daytime heating through cloud cover and precipitation. However, trader consensus favors warmer outcomes—25°C or higher at 40.5% implied probability, 24°C at 27%—driven by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS hinting at 24-25°C peaks if showers ease, consistent with recent daily highs near 24°C on May 15 and historical May averages around 27°C. High humidity near 80% amplifies perceived warmth, while model spread underscores uncertainty; watch afternoon updates from CMA for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$9,807Date de fin
16 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 12:26 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The China Meteorological Administration's latest forecast, released May 15, projects Chongqing's May 16 high at 22°C amid light rain and northeast winds, reflecting a passing frontal system that suppresses daytime heating through cloud cover and precipitation. However, trader consensus favors warmer outcomes—25°C or higher at 40.5% implied probability, 24°C at 27%—driven by global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS hinting at 24-25°C peaks if showers ease, consistent with recent daily highs near 24°C on May 15 and historical May averages around 27°C. High humidity near 80% amplifies perceived warmth, while model spread underscores uncertainty; watch afternoon updates from CMA for shifts ahead of resolution based on official station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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